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Oil eases following the latest headlines about Iran war, as stocks fall due to rising US bond yields
The global stock index dropped on Tuesday as 30-year U.S. Treasury rates rose to their highest level since 2007. Oil prices also eased, as investors digested recent headlines about U.S. negotiations with?Iran in order to end the conflict. U.S. president Donald Trump said on Tuesday that it may be necessary to strike again at?Iran. He also stated that he was an hour from ordering an assault before postponing. Trump said on Monday that he had put off a planned resumption after a new Iranian proposal to end the U.S. - Israel war. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance stated that the United States has made significant progress in its talks with Iran and neither party wants to see the military campaign resumed. Brent futures fell 82 cents to $111.28 per barrel, and the U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude contract for June delivery that expired on Tuesday was down 89 cents to $107.77. The rising inflation concerns continued to push up U.S. Treasury rates. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond reached its highest level in 19 years. Last time, it was around 5.18%. The yields on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to their highest level in over a year. Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, New York. He said, "We are seeing the long-end of the market continue to rise." "That's why we see (stocks) in defensive mode." Stock valuations are challenged by rising yields, which increase borrowing costs and result in a greater discount on future earnings. Earnings from Nvidia, the world's largest?company, are due to be released on Wednesday. Expectations for this company will be sky-high. Walmart and other retailers will also be releasing their results this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 322.24 points or 0.65% to 49,363.88, while the S&P 500 declined 49.44 points or 0.67% to 7,353.61, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 220.02 or 0.84% to 25,870.72. MSCI's global index of stocks fell 6.44 points or 0.59% to 1,091.79. The European stock market was higher on Monday, regaining ground that they lost last Friday, when they fell 1.5% due to bond market fears spreading to equity markets. Stocks in Europe are still below their pre-war level and lag behind their U.S. counterparts. This is because Europe imports energy and has less major tech companies. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by?0.19%. U.S. U.S. The Iran War has not abated the fears of a long-lasting inflationary shock, mainly due to sharply rising energy prices. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 4.4 basis points from late Monday to 4,667%. Prices and yields are inversely related. British bond yields dropped?after reports that the most likely candidate to succeed Prime Minister Keir starmer would not change the country's borrowing regulations. The U.S. Dollar was up in part due to the?higher U.S. Yields, which were driven by inflation concerns and uncertainty about how new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh would respond if prices continue to increase. The global rate hike expectation has changed, and traders are now pricing in higher 'probabilities' of rate increases from the Fed. The expectation is that policymakers are going to have to tighten their policies to combat the resurgence of inflation, which has been fueled by high energy prices. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.34% at 99.33. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.45% to $1.1602. The?dollar gained 0.14% against the Japanese yen to 159.05. Data released on Tuesday revealed that Japan's economy grew an annualised 2.1% during the first quarter. This supports expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike in June. Investors also await details of the government’s supplementary budget, which could further stress Japan’s already degrading public finances. This would weigh down the yen. Gold declined as the dollar strengthened. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery settled 1% lower at $4,511.20.
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Europe EV Sales Jump in April
According to data published on Wednesday, sales of fully electric vehicles in Europe's major auto?markets soared in April. This continued a strong growth as subsidies, policy supports and higher petrol prices boosted?demand. Data from E-Mobility Europe (formerly New Automotive) and Fier Automotive revealed that battery-electric vehicle (BEV), a proxy of sales, increased 34.1% in comparison to the previous year, reaching 201,541 cars across 15 European countries. This follows a rise of 51.3% in March. The increase in sales'suggests that the switch to electric cars in Europe is accelerating even as carmakers are facing weaker consumer demand on some markets, and increasing pressure from Chinese rivals. The policy lesson is that when governments instill confidence in consumers, BEV adoption increases. UNEVEN REGIONAL PICTURE Regionally, the picture is still uneven. The groups reported that in the first four month of this year, battery-electric vehicle registrations increased by 31.3%, to 740 021 vehicles. This increase has helped reduce oil consumption by nearly 3 million barrels. Germany was the biggest market in terms of volume with 25.8% battery-electric vehicle registrations in April. France had 26.2%. Northern Europe was ahead of the region with Norway at 98.6%, and Denmark at 81.9 %. Finland and Sweden had shares of 48.8% &?40.7%. Spain's battery electric registrations have risen?37.3% and Poland's by 50.1% year-to-date, but both remain below a 10% market share. Italy was the largest market with the highest growth rate, up 97.2%. These figures are derived?from the European Alternative Fuels Observatory and come before European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (EAMA) registration data, due on May 27, 2015. (Reporting and editing by Matt Scuffham; Amir Orusov and Mathias de Rozario)
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James Hardie's annual profit is below estimates due to weather and affordability problems
James Hardie Industries reported a lower-than expected annual 'profit' on Wednesday as bad weather disrupted?construction?activity in its key -markets, while affordability and inflationary pressures continue to hamper housing activity. The lower full-year profits underscore the pressure on building materials companies as a result of high mortgage rates, house price, and stretched affordability, which is weighing down?on new construction, repair and remodel activity. The U.S.-Israeli War with Iran has also increased energy costs, which are causing house owners to postpone large-ticket renovations. AZEK Exteriors contributed to the 25% increase in net sales, which drove a 3% rise in Siding & Trim. Europe sales grew 13% while Australia and New Zealand were flat. Net sales, however, fell short of Visible Alpha's expectations of $4.85bn, hurt by lower exterior and interior products volumes, weather-related volume pressures, and affordability concerns. The Dublin-based company reported an adjusted net profit?of $597.7 millions?for the fiscal year that ended on March 31. This is compared to $644.3million a year earlier?and slightly lower than the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of $597.7million. James Hardie, a leading fibre cement manufacturer, predicts net sales between $5.25 and $5.41 billion in 2027, with adjusted operating profits between $1.45 and $1.50billion. Reporting by Nikita?Jino Maria in Bengaluru and Jasmeen?Ara Shaikh; editing by Shashesh Kuber
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Citi warns that oil could reach $150/bbl if the risks of Hormuz are not mitigated.
Citi said on Tuesday that it expects Brent crude prices to rise to $120 per barrel in the short-term. It stated that oil markets undervalue the risks of a "prolonged supply disruption" and other "tail risks". The bank stated that its 'bull-case scenario' is that Brent prices will reach $150/bbl if the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens during the third quarter. The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after Vice President JDVance stated that the U.S. had made progress with Iran in their talks. Neither side wanted to see military action resumed. Brent futures for the month of July?settled at $111.28 per barrel on Tuesday. The report said that its outlook for 2027 oil prices was 'extremely hard to predict. But its central case assumes Iran will maintain a 'control of the Strait of Hormuz flow and balance oil exports against demand growth expectations. Citi predicts that oil demand will contract by 0.6m barrels a day in 2026. The apparent weakness in demand is likely to overstate real consumption declines, as refinery reductions and inventory drawdowns mask relatively small end-use demand destruction. According to the bank, global oil inventories are expected to drop by approximately 1 billion barrels in 2018. Citi stated that "we?estimate" that the majority of these draws would occur outside China and that ex China inventories were on track to fall to 2011-2014 levels. Citi was optimistic about the short-term but said that the current market conditions must continue for six to nine more months before the inventory levels outside of China will drop to the levels seen in the second oil crisis. It maintained U.S. Henry hub?prices due to strong production, but also cited downside risks in Europe and Asia. TTF prices are expected to average around $17.8 for every million British thermal units, if disruptions continue. Anmol Choubey, Pooja Menon and Anushree mukherjee in Bengaluru contributed to the report; David Gregorio edited it.
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Bessent will examine US sanctions list and urge more disruption of Iran's financial system
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called on allies on Tuesday to disrupt Iran's.financing network and said that the Treasury would clear its outdated sanctions list to.make it easier for the financial institutions to.root out the most sophisticated terrorist funding schemes. Bessent said that after the G7 finance leaders met at Paris, participants in an anti-terrorism funding conference should "stand in full measure with us" against Iran. Bessent stated that "this will require our European partners, for example to join the United States by taking action against Iran, including by designating its financiers and unmasking their shell and front company, closing its bank branches and dismantling its proxy companies." It will be up to those in the Middle East, Asia and Africa to bring down Iran's shadow banks. Bessent said in an interview that Iranian banks branches in Europe did not accept deposits, but "that branch manager was doing something." "Just close it." The Treasury announced new sanctions against Iran's shadow fleet of tankers, an Iranian exchange house for foreign currencies and other front companies. Iran announced its latest peace proposal after the U.S. and Israel led war began on February 28, which included ending hostilities "on all fronts, including Lebanon" as well as the withdrawal of U.S. forces from areas near Iran. The move came after Iran said?its latest peace proposal to the United States over the U.S.-Israeli led war that started February 28 involves ending hostilities?on all fronts including Lebanon, and the exit of?U.S. The U.S. Treasury, as the Trump administration attempts to press Tehran to reopen Strait of Hormuz in order to restore vital oil flow disrupted by U.S. and Israeli attacks against Iran, has increased its sanctions through a "Economic Fury" program. The program aims to disrupt Iran’s shadow banking network and has frozen almost half a billion dollar worth of cryptocurrency tied to Iran’s regime. Treasury will update its sanctions system to make it more effective because "our enemies adapt and innovate by creating new shell corporations." The majority of U.S. Treasury sanction are placed on individuals, businesses, and other entities who are added to the Specially Designated Nationals List. This list contains tens and thousands of designated nationals that have their assets frozen and are cut off from the dollar-based financial systems. Transacting with designated entities can lead to sanctions for the person or company involved. Treasury has adapted its sanctions program to the 21st Century in order to achieve better national security results. Bessent stated that we are reviewing "outdated and outdated designations" to help financial institutions concentrate on the most sophisticated terrorist funding and sanctions evasion schemes. He said that the most effective sanctions were aggressive and targeted and that those left in place for too long could have unintended effects. Bessent stated that sanctions are not meant to punish people, but to change their behavior. Bessent said that sanctions left in place for many years without any visible or tangible changes to behavior could have generational effects that were nearly impossible predict. He stated that Treasury would maintain "agility to maximize effectiveness", and gave examples such as easing sanctions against Venezuela and Syria after regime changes. (Reporting and editing by Chizu Nomiyama, Nick Zieminski, and David Lawder)
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Oil eases following the latest Iran war headlines, as stocks fall due to rising US bond yields
Oil prices fell on Tuesday as investors digested headlines about U.S.-Iran talks to end the war. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Tuesday that the United States might need to strike Iran again and that he was an hour from ordering an assault before postponing. Trump said on Monday that he had put off a planned resumption after a new Iranian proposal to end the U.S. - Israel war. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance stated that the United States has made significant progress in its talks with Iran and that neither side would like to see the military campaign resumed. Brent futures fell 82 cents to $111.28 per barrel, and the U.S. West Texas intermediate crude contract, which expired Tuesday, was down 89 cents to $107.77. The yield on 30-year Treasury bonds rose to its highest level in 19 years, 5.197%. Last time, it was at 5.18%. Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, a New York-based brokerage. He said, "We are seeing the long-term end of the market continue to rise." "That's why (stocks are) on the defensive." A rise in yields will increase borrowing costs, and a discount on future earnings for the company. This can affect stock values. Earnings from Nvidia, the world's largest chipmaker, are due to be released on Wednesday. Expectations for this company are sky-high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 241.19 points or 0.49% to 49,444.97. The S&P 500 dropped 40.96 points or 0.56% to 7,361.67. And the Nasdaq Composite was down 192.83 or 0.74% to 25,897.90. MSCI's global index of stocks fell by 5.43 points (0.49%) to 1,092.80. The European stock market was higher on Monday, regaining ground that they lost last Friday, when they fell 1.5%, as the bond market woes spread to the equity markets. Stocks in Europe are still below their pre-war level and lag behind their U.S. counterparts. This is because Europe imports energy and has less major tech companies. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.19%. U.S. U.S. U.S. Treasury Yields rose, as concerns remain about a long-lasting inflationary shock caused by the Iran War. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 4.4 basis points from late Monday to 4,667%. Prices and yields are inversely related. British bond yields dropped after reports that the most likely candidate to succeed Prime Minister Keir Starmer would not change the country's borrowing regulations. The U.S. Dollar was up partly because of higher U.S. Yields, which were fueled by inflation fears. The global rate hike expectation has changed, and traders are now pricing in higher probability of rate increases from the Fed. The expectation has grown that policymakers must tighten their policies to combat an inflation resurgence driven by energy prices rising for longer. The dollar index measures the greenback in relation to a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies. The dollar fell 0.45% to $1.1602, while the euro rose 0.34%. The dollar gained 0.14% against the Japanese yen to 159.05 Data released on Tuesday revealed that Japan's first-quarter economy grew by an annualised 2.1%, which supports expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike in June. Investors also await details of the government’s supplementary budget, which could put further pressure on Japan's public finances that are already in a deteriorating state and affect the yen. Spot gold dropped 1.74% to $4486.37 per ounce.
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Gold drops more than 1% amid inflation fears as Treasury yields and the dollar weigh.
On Tuesday, gold prices fell by over 1% on the back of a stronger U.S. dollar and persistent inflation fears. By 1:45 pm, spot gold had fallen 1.4% to $4,503.98 an ounce. ET (1745 GMT). Earlier in the session, prices fell to their lowest levels since March 30. U.S. Gold Futures for June Delivery settled 1% lower, at $4,511.20. "We're?seeing an increase in real rates across the globe, and this is really weighing on gold." Edward Meir is an analyst with Marex. Benchmark 10-year ?U.S. Treasury yields reached a new high of more than a year, and the U.S. Dollar strengthened. Both rose amid speculation that the Federal Reserve might take a more hawkish stance to combat energy-driven inflation. A stronger dollar increases the cost of commodities priced in greenbacks. Brent crude oil prices are rising due to supply concerns. This is causing concern about global inflation. Inflation is on the rise, forcing central banks to maintain high rates to reduce price pressures. Gold is a good inflation hedge but it can be a problem in high interest rate environments. The markets now expect no rate changes or tightening in late 2018 and into 2026. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He wrote: "While gold's structural investment case remains largely intact, short-term macro developments have created an increasingly challenging backdrop for its prices." As the immediate energy-related pressures start to ease, it is possible that central bank demand will reappear as a?more dominant driver." The market is awaiting the minutes of Wednesday's Fed policy meeting. Silver spot fell 4.1%, to $74.53 per ounce. This is after it touched a two-week low earlier in the session. Platinum fell?2.2% at $1,936.10, while palladium fell 4.2% at $1,359.26. J.P. Morgan forecasted $2,400/oz for platinum in the fourth quarter 2026, while palladium is expected to be $1,600/oz during the same time period. (Reporting and editing by Alexander Smith in Bengaluru, Anjana Anil from Bengaluru)
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Nigerian officials claim that joint US strikes have killed 175 Islamic State militants and senior leaders
Defence Headquarters announced on Tuesday that Nigerian forces working with the United States have killed 175 militants of the Islamic State in a recent series of air and ground strikes. The military stated that operations conducted in conjunction with U.S. Africa Command have destroyed checkpoints and weapons caches as well as logistics hubs and financing networks of the?Islamic State West Africa Province?, which has been leading a long-running insurgency?in this region. According to the crisis monitoring group Armed Conflict Location & Event Data, Islamic State, after suffering major setbacks throughout the Middle East, has shifted its focus towards Africa. This continent accounted for 86% the group's global activity? in the first quarter of 2026. In a press release, Nigerian Defence spokesperson Major General Samaila Uba stated that as of 19 May assessments indicated that 175 ISIS terrorists had been eliminated from battlefield. The strike that killed Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, described by both governments to be Islamic State's "global number one" on May 16 was followed up with more raids last weekend. The statement stated that the raids on May 2 killed Abd al-Wahhab an ISWAP leader who oversees attacks and propaganda. Abu Musa?al-Mangawi and Abu al-Muthanna al-Muhajir was also killed. The Defence Headquarters said that the operations were part of a broader campaign to "hunt down" and "destroy" militants who pose a threat to Nigeria and the region.
Parabilis Medicines, a biopharmaceutical company, files for US IPO
According to a regulatory filing, Parabilis Medicines filed on Tuesday for an initial public offering in the United States. The company said it would use a portion of the proceeds from the IPO to help develop its drug pipeline.
Investors' appetite for new listings is increasing after companies like?AI chipmaker Cerebras Systems, and geothermal power firm Fervo Energy have made strong debuts on the market.
Parabilis, a biopharmaceutical firm in clinical development, is developing Helicons. This class of therapies targets proteins that are difficult to treat.
The filing stated that the company's "lead drug" candidate, zolucatetide has been evaluated by?more 150 patients?and has demonstrated encouraging clinical results across several solid tumour types.
Parabilis intends to use the IPO funds, as well as funds from a private placement, to advance clinical research on zolucatetide and expand its broader pipeline, support its Helicon platform, and for general corporate purposes.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals announced on Monday that it has partnered up with Parabilis. Parabilis could receive a milestone payment of up to $2.2 billion for developing treatments against hard-to reach disease targets.
According to the filing, as part of their research collaboration, 'Regeneron' has agreed to purchase about $75 million?of Parabilis shares in the simultaneous private placement tied to IPO.
Parabilis is slated to list on Nasdaq under the symbol "PBLS".
Underwriters include Leerink Partners and BofA Securities. Reporting and editing by Shashesh Kuber in Bengaluru.
(source: Reuters)