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US stock indexes are mostly higher, but Nvidia shares fall; dollar weakens

US stock indexes are mostly higher, but Nvidia shares fall; dollar weakens

The major U.S. indexes rose slightly on Thursday, despite Nvidia's shares falling amid uncertainty about its China business. Meanwhile, the dollar fell against the yen and euro as traders awaited a reduction in U.S. rates.

Nvidia shares fell about 1.1% after the market closed on Wednesday. The trade war between the United States and China clouded the better-than expected revenue forecast released by the chip designer. Nvidia's forecast was better than Wall Street expected but disappointed investors used to big results.

The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all rose slightly, while an index of semiconductor stocks increased by 0.4%.

Peter Tuz of Chase Investment Counsel, Charlottesville, Virginia, stated that investors were mostly relieved by Nvidia’s results and guidance.

He said that while there is some confusion about what will happen in China, Nvidia has "not said anything that points to a significant sloweddown" so this removed a major overhang or risk.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang dismissed concerns about the end of a spending boom for AI chips, and said that opportunities would expand over five years.

Tuz says that economic data is another positive for stocks. Tuz said that the day's data revealed the U.S. economic growth was faster than originally thought in the second-quarter, driven in part by business investments in intellectual property like AI.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 5.97 points or 0.01% to 45,571.20. The S&P 500 rose 5.11 points or 0.08% to 6,486.51 while the Nasdaq Composite grew 57.08 or 0.26% to 21,646.27.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 1.53 points or 0.16% to 954.57.

The STOXX 600 Index fell by 0.16%.

Following Francois Bayrou’s gamble, European markets are likely to remain focused on France’s fiscal trajectory following his deeply unpopular plan to reduce debt via a vote of confidence next month.

The euro rose 0.29% to $1.1671. The dollar fell 0.26% against the Japanese yen to 147.

Investors want to know more about the prospects of interest rate reductions ahead of Federal Reserve's policy meeting on September 16-17.

John Williams, the New York Fed's bank president, said on Wednesday that it was likely interest rates would fall at some stage. However policymakers must wait to see how the economy develops in the coming months before deciding if a rate cut is appropriate at the September meeting.

According to CME's FedWatch, traders are currently pricing in 87% of the odds that a quarter point rate cut will occur in September. They see 137 basis point cuts in total by the end 2026.

This week, the Fed will also be reporting on Friday about personal consumption expenditures in the United States - its preferred inflation indicator.

Investors are still digesting the news about Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. Cook filed a suit on Thursday, claiming that U.S. president Donald Trump does not have the power to remove Lisa Cook from her office. This could set up a legal fight that could reset norms long established for the independence of the U.S. Central Bank.

As traders considered the prospects of Fed rate cuts, interest rate-sensitive yields on two-year bonds rose, but remained near a four-month-low.

The yield on the two-year bond was up by 1.4 basis points to 3.637%. The benchmark 10-year bond fell 0.8 basis to 4.23%.

U.S. crude dropped 0.89%, to $63.59 per barrel. Brent was down to $67.64 a barrel on the same day.

(source: Reuters)