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Wall Street closes mixed with European shares gaining; US yields and dollar falling

Wall Street closes mixed with European shares gaining; US yields and dollar falling

On Tuesday, two major Wall Street indices experienced their fourth consecutive decline as Treasury yields and dollar fell on signs of a slowing U.S. economy and uncertainty about Trump administration policies.

The euro strengthened after the German election results, while European shares fell.

The price of oil fell to its lowest level in two months as fears about a slowing economy were fueled by weak economic data from the U.S.

The market was jittery after Nvidia announced its fourth-quarter earnings results on Wednesday. The Federal Reserve's mandate to control inflation was also a focus of Friday's release of the Personal Consumption Spending Price Index.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 260.54, or 1.5%, points to 19,026.39 and the S&P 500 fell 28.00 points or 0.47%.

The mood was exacerbated by a weak reading on consumer confidence in the United States.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose by 159.95 points or 0.37% to 43,621.16.

The 10-year yield dropped 9.5 basis to 4,298%, while the 2-year yield, which is typically in line with Fed interest rate expectations, fell 7.2 to 4,096%.

European shares closed 0.2% higher on Tuesday after gains by banks and healthcare companies off-set declines by technology stocks.

Dollar index was impacted by the soft U.S. data, which measures greenbacks against a basket currencies.

Due to its high tariff risk, the euro is among the worst performing major currencies against dollars.

The planned tariffs on U.S. imported goods by President Donald Trump could push up inflation in the United States, and his mass firings may impact the labor markets, at a time when the Federal Reserve is looking to reduce interest rates.

The tension between the U.S., Europe and Russia has also increased over Ukraine. How to broker a ceasefire with Russia three years after Moscow invaded its neighbor is a major issue.

Chris Beauchamp is the chief strategist of IG. He says that the market sentiment has been fragile, but volatility has been minimal.

He said: "This is in stark contrast to recent years, when crises seemed to occur one at a moment and you could deal with them as they happened. Now, it seems like 'everything', everywhere at once,"

REASONS TO BE OPTIMISTIC?

CBOE’s VIX volatility indicator rose to its highest level in a week on Tuesday. However, it has not yet reached the high of late January.

Beauchamp says there are many reasons to be hopeful.

If you look at the earnings season, everything has gone well. The headlines, and signs of a rift between Europe and the U.S., don't directly impact... stocks but they make the mood more frantic.

While negative surprises have increased in the U.S. economy this month. This is due to unwelcome increases in consumer inflation expectations, and most recently a decline in business activity.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that U.S. economic indicators are misleading. He cited interest rate volatility and inflation, as well as job growth in the government sector.

Investors have been questioning whether China's low cost AI model, DeepSeek, is worth the huge investment. A lot will depend on Nvidia’s fourth-quarter results. Chinese retail investors have been pouring money into AI-linked stocks in the domestic market, pushing the Hong Kong equity index up to a three-year-high.

Brent futures dropped $1.76 or 2.4% to settle at $73.02 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell $1.77 or 2.5% to settle $68.93.

Spot gold dropped 0.01% to 2,914.69 dollars an ounce. U.S. Gold futures ended 1.5% lower, at $2 918.80. Gold reached its highest level of $2,956.15 at the beginning of this week.

Bitcoin rose 0.2% after falling below $87,000.

(source: Reuters)