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Monsoon havoc exposes West and Central Africa's increasing flood dangers

Fatherofseven Dah Toubada Kadapia stood on a stack of homemade sandbags in his backyard in Chad's capital N'Djamena, surrounded by floodwaters that residents state have actually increased greater than past years, causing more damage than ever.

Over the last couple of months, heavy rains have actually flooded every one of Chad's 23 provinces, burst a dam in northern Nigeria, harmed ancient structures in Niger's desert town of Agadez, and eliminated more than 1,460 people in the countries on the fringes of the Sahara, according to U.N. help firm OCHA.

On one hand they were annual rains flagged up beforehand with forecasts of especially heavy rainstorms, raising the concern, stated Kadapia, why officials were not much better prepared.

If only the authorities could discover a service in advance, so that every year it wasn't simply water, water, water and floods, he stated.

On the other, some of the inundations were not so predictable. Rains fell further north than typical, flooding desert locations that normally see little rains in Chad and in other places, exposing open holes in infrastructure and official readiness plans.

Africa's financial losses linked to floods have actually been increasing. A report by the World Meteorological Organization, released in 2021, stated they leapt to $12.5 billion in 2010-19, more than double the average of the preceding 3 decades.

And experts state there is worse to come.

The Sahel is progressively threatened by floods due to changes in natural climate patterns, greater rainfall intensity, bad city preparation and other causes, according to a 2021 research study in the Journal of Hydrology, which kept in mind that widespread havoc and destruction are becoming commonplace.

' WE LOST EVERYTHING'

A year after that paper was published, West and Central Africa was swept by one of the worst seasonal flooding disasters on record with more than 8.5 million people affected throughout 20 countries, according to OCHA.

This season, intense heat over the Sahara and other elements pulled the monsoon belt further north than usual, triggering downpours in usually arid desert areas, said Wassila Thiaw, deputy director of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Centre.

Compared with the 1991-2020 rains record, this July-September duration was among the 5 wettest years in much of Niger, Chad and parts of western Mali.

Some locations in western Niger and Mali, and the border in between Niger and Nigeria, saw more rainfall than in the disastrous 2022 season, Thiaw stated.

Social network was awash with videos of roads turned to rivers, half-submerged trucks and displaced individuals desperately trying to restore their valuables from flooded homes.

Mali stated a state of national catastrophe and pushed back the start of the academic year by a month as schools filled with households driven from their homes by the floods.

Granny Iya Kobla looked for shelter after a river in the Mali's capital Bamako burst its banks, swamped her fishing village in ankle-deep water, and ruined a few of its mud-built homes.

We lost everything and now my grandchildren are all sick, she stated, beside makeshift beds on a school flooring.

A DEFINING MOMENT

A few of these occasions were foreseeable. Climate specialists say worldwide warming has increased the frequency and strength of rain. West Africa is likewise going through a decades-long natural cycle of wetter monsoons following extended drought from the 1970s to 1990s, NOAA's Thiaw said.

In 2023, the WMO and other international organisations introduced an action plan to enhance early caution systems for impending natural catastrophes in Africa, which has the lowest rate of access to such systems of throughout the world.

However, information reveal that the vulnerable neighborhoods most in need of these cautions are often the worst equipped to act upon them, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, senior scientist at Columbia University's Environment School, stated.

In Chad, more than 40% of the population live in poverty. Meagre resources are stretched further by the presence of 2 million refugees, lots of living in fundamental camps.

It's incomplete to state if there were an early warning system, that action would have been taken and effect would be prevented ... There are many other components that need to be attended to, Kruczkiewicz stated, referring to the need for a. pre-agreed strategy, funding, neighborhood buy-in and other essentials.

We're at a critical moment and the West and Central Africa. case exemplifies that, since the

(source: Reuters)