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Gold drops as inflation fears rise over Middle East conflict

Gold prices dropped on Monday, as tensions in the Middle East increased inflation fears and reinforced expectations that central banks may continue to tighten monetary policy.

Gold spot was down 1% to $4,489.34 an ounce at 1:50 pm EDT (1750 GMT), following a two-week peak on Friday.

U.S. Gold Futures closed 1.9% lower, at $4,506,30.

Holders of other currencies will now pay more for metals that are priced in U.S. dollars.

Jim Wyckoff, an analyst at American Gold Exchange, said that if bond yields continue to rise and rates start to stabilize or trend downward, gold will remain under pressure.

Iran claimed it attacked a U.S. base after U.S. strikes on Iranian military targets over the weekend. U.S. president Donald Trump said, however, that talks with Iran were "continuing at a rapid rate."

Oil prices rose, increasing inflation concerns linked to the Iran Conflict, which could cause central banks to increase interest rates in order to reduce rising price pressures.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders have estimated that there is a 54% probability of at least one rate hike in the U.S. by year's end.

Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation, but its appeal tends to diminish in an environment of high interest rates because it doesn't generate any yield.

The market will be watching a series of U.S. job data releases that are due to be released this week as well as?remarks by Federal Reserve officials.

Ole Hansen, analyst at Saxo Bank, said: "Once geopolitical stability is achieved and energy shocks begin to subside, we expect investors will refocus their attention on the structural themes that have supported the bull market for gold in recent years."

He said that central banks will continue to be net buyers in the next year.

Spot silver remained flat at $75.26 per ounce. Platinum gained 0.7%, reaching $1,929.60, and palladium increased by 0.9%, to $1366.44.

Morgan Stanley stated in a Friday note that palladium was moving towards equilibrium as the supply constraints were offset by a weakening of auto demand. (Reporting and editing by Shailesh Kuber and Barbara Lewis; Ashitha Shivaprasad, Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)