Latest News

Canada's trade surplus narrows in May; US exports fall to their lowest level since the pandemic

Data released on Thursday showed that Canada's May trade deficit narrowed following a record-breaking one in April. Total exports increased and imports decreased, even though the U.S. Tariffs impacted shipments south of border. Statistics Canada reported that the trade deficit for May was in line with expectations, at C$5.9 (US$4.34) billion. This is down from C$7.6 billion which had been revised downwards in the previous month. Exports rose by 1.1% monthly after a 11% drop in April.

Statscan reported that this was the first rise in exports for four months. This was due to record exports outside the U.S.

Prince Owusu is a senior economist at Export Development Canada. He said, "The most important thing I take away from these data is diversification."

He said: "While we continue bleeding in the U.S. we are diverting trade to another market."

In May, the share of exports and imported goods with the U.S. fell to its lowest level since the Pandemic Year of 2020. Exports to Canada's largest trading partner in the U.S. fell for the fourth consecutive month, with a 0.9% drop registered in May.

Exports in volume terms increased by 0.7% during May.

President Donald Trump imposed tariffs of 25% on automobiles made in Canada and 50% on steel and aluminum imports. Canada also imposed retaliatory duties.

The trade dispute between Canada and the United States, whose bilateral trade exceeded a trillion Canadian Dollars last year, has hurt Canada's exports as well as the Canadian job market. Mark Carney, Canada's prime minister, and Donald Trump aim to reach a deal on trade by July 21.

Statscan reported that Canada's exports in May totaled C$60.81 Billion, a significant increase from C$60.12 Billion in April. This category grew by 15.1%. The main driver was the exports of unwrought metals, which grew by 30.1% and reached a record amount of $5.9 billion.

The statistics agency stated that "most of the increase was due to increased physical shipments to the United Kingdom." The statistics agency said that excluding metal and nonmetallic mineral products the total exports fell by 1.2%. Canadian companies are looking for ways to expand their trade outside the U.S. as trade with that country has declined. Statscan reported that exports to other countries than the United States reached a record-high in May, but this was not enough for the U.S. and China to offset the loss of canola, crude oil, and other products. Total imports fell by 1.6%, to C$66.66 Billion. Imports from the U.S. dropped by 1.2%.

After the trade data, the Canadian dollar was down 0.23% at 1.3615 against the U.S. Dollar. The yields on two-year government bond rose 3.7 basis points, to 2.706%.

The May deficit, although smaller than the previous month, was still one of the largest in history. Economists predicted that two months' decline would bring the deficit down.

second quarter GDP

(source: Reuters)