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Sibanye anticipates a 15% decline in global platinum production by 2034

An executive at South Africa's Sibanye Stillwater said that the company expects the?mined?platinum production to fall 15% by 2034 from current levels. The market is also tightening due to a slower-than-expected uptake of electric cars.

The use of platinum in autocatalysts is under threat by the increasing number of electric cars, which don't need emission control devices.

South African miner, who accounts for 70% of the global platinum production, are hesitant to add new production because they're uncertain about long-term demand. This leads to a decline in output as mineral deposits deplete.

Kleantha Pillay is Sibanye’s executive vice-president for sales and marketing. She told analysts that "for?platinum we are looking at around 6.2 million pounds a year by 2019 and we expect this to drop?to just 4.7 million pounds by 2034."

According to Johnson Matthey, the global?platinum production is expected to drop to 5.46 millions ounces by 2026 from 5.56million ounces this year.

PALLADIUM OUTPUT ALSO EXPECTED TO FALL

She said that palladium production, which is a member of the platinum group and can be used to replace platinum in certain applications, will also decline by 15% in 2034 from its current levels.

Pillay added that Sibanye predicts electric vehicles will account for 35% of worldwide car sales by 2034. The International Energy Agency had predicted that electric vehicles would have a 50% share of global sales by 2035.

Pillay stated that the forecast for battery-electric vehicles has been lowered every year since 2004.

She said that the European Union's decision to ease?emission targets last December and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency proposal to delay enforcement of vehicle emission regulations "buys a little more time for combustion engine".

Sibanye said it expected recycled PGMs to remain at the current levels of around 5 million ounces and not materially affect market balances. (Reporting and editing by Jan Harvey; Olivia Kumwenda Mtambo, Nelson Banya)

(source: Reuters)