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Chile's Cochilco reduces 2024 average copper cost forecast

Chile's stateowned copper commission Cochilco on Tuesday decreased its forecast for the average cost of copper in 2024 to $4.18 per pound, below a. May estimate of $4.30, pointing out elements such as economic weakness. in top customers.

The commission maintained its 2025 average price projection. at $4.25 per pound.

The 2024 modification, Cochilco said in a report, was related. to macroeconomic weak point in the main consuming nations and. the post ponement of the start of the financial policy rate. decrease cycle in the United States.

The commission likewise pointed out geopolitical uncertainty and. the build-up of stocks in the Asian market, however noted. prices would remain above $4.00 per pound - a key level it. anticipates to be kept over the next decade.

Cochilco likewise said that Chile's copper production is. expected to increase by 3% in 2024 from the previous year to. 5.41 million metric tons, except the previously estimated 5.5. million lots.

In 2025, production would grow 6% to 5.7 million loads,. Cochilco included. The Andean country is the world's largest copper. producer.

The commission added that the refined copper market is. anticipated to be approximately stabilized in 2024 and 2025.

It is estimated to be in a slight deficit in 2024, with. 12,000 lots, and surplus in 2025, with 13,000 tons, markets. planner Victor Garay stated. This forecast suggests an appropriate. change from the previous price quote, when a deficit was anticipated..

(source: Reuters)