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IMF warns Algerian FX reserves may fall by 61% in 2031

The International Monetary Fund announced on Tuesday that Algeria's foreign currency reserves will?fall sharply? over the next six-year period, from $51 billion in?2025 down to $19.8 billion by 2031. However, higher hydrocarbon revenue could offer an opportunity to rebuild buffers.

IMF predicts that reserves will drop to $46.5 billion by 2026. They are expected to fall further in the following years: $27.8 in 2029; $23.5 in 2030; and $19.8 in 2031.

The report said that a larger current account deficit in 2025 caused by higher imports and lower hydrocarbon exports had contributed to the decrease in Algeria's reserves of foreign currency.

The IMF predicts GDP growth of 3.8% by 2026, after 3.9% growth in 2025. Growth will then slow to 3.1% in 2020, 3.0% growth in 2028, and 2.9% growth in 2030 and 2031.

It said that 'Algeria can use higher hydrocarbon revenue to rebuild fiscal and?external?buffers. But it recommended a gradual fiscal -consolidation.

The report also called for the continuation of?reforms in order to diversify and strengthen the private sector-led economy.

(source: Reuters)