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France increases soft wheat area estimates but is cautious about harvest outlook

The French Ministry of Agriculture increased Tuesday its estimate for the winter soft-wheat area for the harvest this year. This confirms a rebound after last year's planting, which was hampered by rain. However, the ministry warned that the soggy conditions may also affect the crop in 2025.

After months of heavy rainfall, France, the largest grain producer in the European Union, harvested its smallest soft-wheat crop since 1980, which contributed to a drop in exports.

The dry autumn allowed growers to complete the majority of sowings for 2025. However, January's downpours have left some fields wet.

The ministry increased its estimate of the area for winter soft wheat in France, which is its main cereal crop. It was originally 4.51 million hectares in December.

In a report, the ministry stated that the revised estimate increased by 10% in comparison to the area harvested in the year 2024. It also increased by 0.4% over the average of the last five years.

The Ministry of Agriculture said that the amount of soft wheat planted was relatively low compared to the previous 30 years. It also noted that the planting conditions in the Centre-Val de Loire, an important crop belt, were similar to last year because the region was waterlogged.

It added that soggy fields in various regions could impact winter cereal yields, or cause resowing of spring crops.

The estimated area of winter barley was reduced to 1,21 million hectares, down from the 1.23 million acres projected in December. This is now 2.1% lower than 2024, and 3.5% less than the average for the past five years.

Winter rapeseed's expected area has been reduced to 1,27 million hectares, down from 1,34 million last year, but still 6.2% higher than the average for the past five years.

The area of winter crop sown for durum wheat (the variety used to make pasta) was 198,000 hectares. This is down from the 206,000 hectares predicted in December, and represents a 30-year low.

In France, wheat and rapeseed constitute almost all winter crops. Barley is also a major spring crop.

(source: Reuters)