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Middle East tensions drive oil over $100, Wall Street drops

Brent crude prices soared to $100 per barrel on Wednesday, and Wall Street opened lower as the escalating conflict engulfing the Middle East fueled fears?about? energy-driven inflation in advance of several important central bank decisions.

Brent crude futures climbed as high as 3%, reaching a session-high of $100.95. This was the first time that Brent crude had breached the symbol since July 24. After Iran claimed it fired missiles at an American base in Jordan, and both sides claimed they attacked vessels, oil supply from the region became a concern. Brent crude prices rose by 2.83% at the start of U.S. trade, and were priced at $100.70 per barrel.

The stock markets around the world were under pressure due to the recent surge in energy costs, which prompted concerns that central banks would tighten monetary policy for longer if inflation continues to rise.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.75% during early trading. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was down by 0.30% while the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.35%.

The pan-European STOXX 600 Index?fell 1.2% while MSCI's global stock index fell 3.39 points or 0.29%.

The euro edged up ahead of Thursday's policy announcement by the European Central Bank. Markets were expecting an increase amid inflationary pressures caused by the Iran War. The currency reached a new high of $1.16493, which is more than a week old.

As traders redeemed short positions, the yen reached a 'nearly 7-month high' against the dollar on Tuesday. The Bank of Japan is expected to increase rates faster and there could be a rush of Japanese capital repatriated.

Japan and the Eurozone are both energy importers.

The dollar index fell by 0.13%, to 98.65, measuring the greenback in relation to a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies.

U.S. INFLATION TESTS

The benchmark yield for global borrowing costs is the 10-year U.S. Treasury. It traded at 4,794%. Last week, it reached a high of nearly three years at 4.818% as traders ramped up expectations of tighter monetary policies.

The U.S. consumer and producer price reports that will be released this week are a test of these bets. Policymakers are looking for more evidence that inflation is continuing to cool.

In the latest survey, 70% of economists expect that the Federal Reserve will keep rates the same at its rate-setting meeting on Tuesday. However, this is lower than the 90% of economists who expected rates to remain the same in August.

Matthew Ryan, the Head of Market Strategy for global financial services company?Ebury, said: "Financial market participants are genuinely divided on whether or not the FOMC will increase rates at its September meeting next week, a state of 'uncertainty that is unusually close to a deadline.

The yen gained around 0.4%, reaching 153.350 to the dollar. It is now back at its previous high of 152.89. The yen had risen by around 4% in the last five days, with BOJ officials' hawkish comments ostensibly triggering a move which?then snowballed when breaks of key levels led to additional buying.

Sterling edged up 0.14%. The Bank of England will announce its latest decision on Thursday of the following week. Economists predict that the key rate for the rest of the year will remain unchanged.

Gold rose 1.5% to $4,418 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)