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NRG Energy expects a higher core profit in 2026 due to strong power demand

NRG Energy forecast a core profit of $1.2 billion for the full year 2026, compared to its revised range for 2025. The company's shares rose 1% before the market opened on Thursday due to the surge in power demand.

NRG will benefit from the surge in electricity demand in Texas. This is due in part to a boom of data centers that require large, stable power supplies in order to support artificial-intelligence and cloud computing operations.

Utility expects a core profit of between $3.93 and $4.18 in 2026, as opposed to its updated guidance for 2025 of $3.88 to $4.03 Billion.

NRG received a low-interest loan of $562 million from the Texas Public Utility Commission late in the quarter reported. The funding will begin in September 2025, and continue until 2028.

NRG has expanded its partnership with PJM data centers in the quarter reported, signing two long-term retail energy deals totaling 150 MW.

The total number of agreements now stands at 445 MW, spread across Electric Reliability Council of Texas sites (ERCOT), and PJM. New facilities are expected to be online between 2028-2032.

NRG's Board approved a new share buyback program of $3 billion through 2028, and a 8% increase in dividends to $1.90 - aligning itself with its long-term growth goal of 7-9%.

The company has reaffirmed the recently increased profit forecast for this year, which was raised from $7.55 to $8.15.

The utility's Texas division saw its core profit increase 38%, to $807 millions, from the previous year.

According to LSEG, the Houston-based company posted an adjusted profit per share of $2.78 in the third quarter that ended on September 30. This was compared to analysts' estimates of $2.10, according LSEG. Reporting by Pranav mathur in Bengaluru, Editing by Shailesh kuber

(source: Reuters)