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HCA increases its annual profit forecast based on resilient demand for healthcare

HCA Healthcare increased its profit forecast for 2025 on Friday, as the hospital operator anticipates sustained demand in medical procedures that will cushion any potential impact from U.S. president Donald Trump's tariffs.

Analysts expected hospital operators would benefit from an increase in costs for health insurance companies related to Obamacare and Medicaid plans. They also warned about a possible earnings hit due to proposed federal budget reductions.

HCA shares dropped 1%, however, as the hospital operator experienced a decline in inpatient and outpatient surgery by 0.3% and 0,6% respectively in the quarter ending June 30.

The decline in surgical volume raised concerns about the stabilization of high demand for procedures that had driven hospital operator's earnings over recent quarters.

Andrew Mok, Barclays analyst, said that revenue growth is slower than its peers Tenet Healthcare or Community Health Systems.

The company's revenue for the second quarter rose 6.4%, to $18.61billion. This compares with analyst estimates of $18.50billion.

HCA's second-quarter adjusted profits were $6.84 per common share, exceeding analysts' expectations of $6.25, according to LSEG data.

The hospital operator increased its profit forecast for 2025 to about $27 to $27.50 per share from an earlier range of $24.05 - $25.85. The company included the impact of the Trump administration's future and current policies, as well as potential tariffs on imported goods.

The Trump administration is considering separate tariffs on pharmaceuticals that could reach as high as 2000%.

HCA stated that it expected "tariff risks" to be manageable for 2025 due to long-term contracts which allow it to purchase supplies like medical equipment from domestic sources at a fixed cost.

(source: Reuters)