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Stocks increase, bond yields drop on soft United States PPI data

Stocks jumped and bond yields fell on Tuesday after information revealed U.S. manufacturer prices increased less than anticipated in July, reinforcing market expectations that cooling inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to cut rates of interest soon.

The producer cost index for last need gained 0.1% last month after rising by an unrevised 0.2% in June, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Stats said on Tuesday. Economic experts surveyed had actually anticipated the PPI getting 0.2%.

The soft 0.1% month-on-month increase in final need PPI and unchanged core PPI for July is not quite as excellent as it looks, but it is nonetheless constant with the Fed's. preferred core PCE costs determine increasing at a below-2%. annualised speed, said Paul Ashworth, the primary financial expert in. North America at Capital Economics.

Hopes that rate cuts are in the offing underpinned gains on. Wall Street. The S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow Jones. Industrial Average added 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite. climbed 1.2%. MSCI's gauge of stocks around the world. leapt 0.9%.

In line with speculation of financial policy easing, Treasury. yields fell. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield. slipped to 3.8712%, while the two-year Treasury yield. was up to 3.9606%.

Europe's STOXX 600 index acquired 0.2%, while Japan's. Nikkei leapt more than 3% following a vacation on. Monday, a welcome relief after last week's wild swings that. started with a huge sell-off stimulated by an increasing yen and fears. of a U.S. economic downturn.

While aftershocks may reveal vulnerabilities, we continue. to view recent volatility as being an equivalent of a 'heart. palpitation' not a 'heart attack', Viktor Shvets, head of. global desk technique at Macquarie Capital stated in a note.

We also preserve that the anxiety about a U.S. slowdown. is overdone.

The yen was flat at 147.2 per dollar, having. touched a seven-month high of 141.675 on Monday last week, a far. cry from the 38-year lows of 161.96 it was rooted to at the. start of July.

A Bank of Japan rate increase last month following bouts of. intervention from Tokyo earlier in July wrong-footed financiers. and led them to bail out of popular bring trades, which utilize the. currency of a low-rate market to fund financial investments with higher. returns.

The current weekly data to Aug. 6 showed that leveraged funds. - normally hedge funds and different kinds of cash managers -. closed their positions in the yen at the quickest rate considering that. March 2011.

Given the yen's current rally, dollar-yen is now more in sync. with its yield differential, according to Karsten Junius, chief. economist at Bank J. Safra Sarasin.

Another wave of the yen-funded bring trade unwind will. likely push the yen still somewhat higher towards year-end. Yet. we do not anticipate USD-JPY to fall meaningfully listed below 140, he. said.

DATA HEAVY WEEK

Information this week might hone views on the Federal Reserve's. next move. Markets are currently evenly split in between a 25. basis-point cut or a 50-bp cut at the next meeting in September.

Traders are pricing in 100 bps of cuts this year.

Surprisingly soft payrolls data started the market. disaster at the start of recently but strong U.S. information considering that. then has relieved downturn fears.

Any hints of soft inflationary pressures could cause. financial markets to double down on wagers the Fed will dramatically. cut rates this year, which would weigh on the dollar, stated. Kristina Clifton, a senior economic expert at Commonwealth Bank of. Australia.

U.S. customer cost index data for July is due on Wednesday. and expected to reveal month-on-month inflation ticked approximately 0.2%. Retail sales data is arranged for Thursday.

Euro zone bond yields were bit changed. Germany's 10-year. yield, the criteria for the euro zone, fell to. 2.188%. It hit its least expensive given that January at 2.074% last week.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency. versus 6 others, dipped 0.18% to 102.9. The euro. was rose 0.3% to $1.0960, while sterling was up 0.4% at. $ 1.28205.

In products, Brent crude futures alleviated 1% to. $ 81.43 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude. futures slipped 1% to $79.24 a barrel. Brent had gained. more than 3% on Monday, while U.S. unrefined futures had actually risen more. than 4%.

(source: Reuters)