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Source: EU regulators to pause probe of ADNOC Covestro deal.
A person with first-hand knowledge of the situation said that EU antitrust regulators will pause their investigation on Wednesday into Abu Dhabi's state oil giant ADNOC’s bid for German chemicals firm Covestro. The bid is worth 14.7 billion euros ($17.2 billion). According to the person, the temporary suspension will allow the European Commission time to gather more information about the deal. ADNOC bought Covestro in October last year, making it its largest acquisition to date and the biggest foreign takeover of an EU firm by a Gulf State. Covestro produces foam chemicals that are used in car seats, mattresses and building insulation. ADNOC and the EU Competition enforcer had constructive discussions on potential remedies with ADNOC on Tuesday, a source reported. The Commission began an investigation in July and warned about possible subsidies given by the United Arab Emirates. This included an unlimited guarantee, as well as an increase of capital by ADNOC to Covestro. ADNOC declined comment. The Commission has set December 2, 2012 as the deadline for a decision. It did not respond immediately to an email request for comments.
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Ross Kerber, a top US business lobby, tries to be nonpartisan with Trump
Has Donald Trump become a socialist? Analysts from all political parties have expressed concern about the president's unprecedented economic and corporate interventions. The president has made a number of unprecedented corporate and economic interventions, including giving the government stakes at companies such as Intel and putting pressure on the Federal Reserve in order to lower interest rates. He also pressed media and law firms. Investors and academics are concerned that the measures will undermine business independence. Many blame major trade groups because they have not united and pushed back harder against Trump. Vanessa Williamson, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution told me that doing so "would help protect individual businesses and leadership from possible retribution by the regime for their outspokenness". Richard Morrison is a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a think tank that promotes free market capitalism. He said: "While individual CEOs might be reluctant to defend the law and their company, business federations are there for this exact reason." Neil Bradley, executive Vice President and Chief Policy Officer of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce (the largest U.S. Business Lobby) agreed to an interview shortly before Labor Day. The following is an edited transcript of our conversation. Q: What are your thoughts on the Intel deal and other similar agreements? A: There are a number of factors at play. What are the rules, is the most common question and concern we hear. It is very rare for the government take a stake in an equity company. Q: This kind of thing happened during the financial crises, for example with banks. A: Yes, that's what I meant. These programs included the rules from the beginning. People who defend what happened here point to these cases. It's not that they're wrong, but the rules were very clear and limited in the past. It was unexpected and caught many people by surprise, as the rules were not clearly defined. Q: What about Trump's pressuring of the Fed? A: The Chamber of Commerce has a history of defending Fed autonomy when it comes monetary policy. Bradley wrote this blog in July. This was a very common thought among the founders of the United States, an attempt to avoid the question of how money is valued. Q: Do you worry that Trump's (attempted firing) of Fed Governor Lisa Cook will undermine the independence of the Fed? We are paying attention. This will essentially come down to the question of "cause." Q: You must disagree with the Fed's overall philosophy. Q: Does a president have the right to make suggestions about monetary policy? Yes, of course. The real question is whether the Fed can operate its monetary policies independently of any political actor. I don't think we've crossed the line yet. That's what needs to be maintained. Q: Do you have any other concerns? A: In any administration, it doesn't matter if we are talking about equity stakes or regulatory issues. There is always a discussion on policy and the process. It is important that we have clear road rules. Q: Is the tariff process a good example of something that was not done properly? A: Yes. The Chamber has filed an amicus curiae brief in pending litigation regarding the ability to apply IEEPA (the International Emergency Economic Powers Act), for tariffs. The Chamber generally does not like high tariffs. Where does the authority for tariffs lie? Over the past 70 years, Congress has absolutely delegated the tariff authority to President. IEEPA, in our opinion, is not among them. On Friday, a divided U.S. court of appeals ruled that most of Trump's Tariffs were illegal. Q: I have heard that groups of businessmen like yours could and should speak out more against Trump. They say that your voice is stronger than that of individual CEOs. A: The Chamber of Commerce and other organizations have a role to play in shaping the relationship between government and private sector so as to preserve our free-market economic system. We also operate in an environment that is highly politicized. It's really important to make the points clear in a nonpartisan way. We don't want our free market economy to become just another partisan issue. Our free-market system has survived because of a bipartisan consensus. As we advocate, it is important to maintain this consensus by preserving the free market. The arguments will be a waste of time if they are just a repetition of "Republicans for this and Democrats for that." It is important that people know what lines should be maintained regardless of the office. Q: Do we face a constitutional crisis? A: We try to speak in the areas of our expertise and where we are able to comment. When arguments become ineffective, we can conclude.
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Copper reaches five-month high amid U.S. rate cuts expectations
The copper price was stable on Wednesday, after reaching a five-month high. A weaker dollar and mounting expectations for a U.S. rate cut in the next few days helped to support it. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange remained unchanged, $9,981.50 as of 1024 GMT. Metal prices reached $10,038, their highest level since March 26. The LME delayed the opening of electronic trading by 90 minutes because a technical problem occurred during the pre-opening. In an email, the LME stated that "this was quickly resolved and now all systems are operating smoothly." Ewa Mnthey, commodities strategist at ING, believes that the U.S. jobs data, due Friday, will confirm a weakening of the labour market and strengthen the case for a rate cut. Metals that are dependent on growth will benefit from lower interest rates. She said that concerns over the growth of the economy due to the broad U.S. tariffs on imports continue and are weighing on the sentiment for industrial metals. Dollar-priced gold and silver are more attractive to buyers who hold other currencies because the dollar index is down by 0.1%. A private sector survey revealed on Wednesday that in China, the world's largest metal consumer, services activities expanded at their fastest pace in 15 month in August. This was boosted by a stronger domestic demand as well as a rebound of foreign orders. The Chinese stock market, however, largely ignored the news, and posted their largest drop in a single week. This was mainly due to a decline in the defence industry, as investors took profits after a large military parade. Zinc, among other LME metals rose by 0.5%, to $2.879 per ton, after reaching $2.900, its highest level since the 28th of March. Zinc prices are boosted by lower stocks in LME-registered storage warehouses Neil Welsh, Britannia Global Markets' head of metals, says that there is a strong technical trend, but fundamental support still lacks. LME aluminium remained at $2,618.50. Lead gained 0.4%, to $2,000.50. Tin added 0.1%, to $34,655. Nickel climbed 0.4%, to $15,290. (Reporting and editing by Harikrishnan Nair, Vijay Kishore and Polina Devitt)
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Sources say that OPEC+ will consider a further increase in oil production on Sunday
OPEC+ is expected to consider increasing oil production during a Sunday meeting, according to two sources who are familiar with the discussion. The group wants to regain its market share. OPEC+ would also be able to start unwinding a second layer, a cut of around 1.65 million barrels a day or 1.6%, of global demand more than a full year earlier. On Sunday, eight OPEC+ nations will hold a virtual meeting to determine the output for October. OPEC+ is the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, plus Russia and its allies. Some analysts and a source from OPEC+ said that there is a possibility that OPEC+ may pause its increases in October. The OPEC+ official said that a final decision had not yet been made. OPEC's headquarters in Saudi Arabia and its authorities did not respond immediately to comments. OPEC+'s increased production has not lowered oil prices. The group's actual increases have been less than the pledges, as some members have compensated for overproduction while others struggle to increase output due to capacity limitations. Brent crude traded near $68 per barrel on Wednesday. This was down more than 1% for the day, but it is up from an April 2025 low near $58. OPEC+ has been reducing production to support oil prices for several years. This year, it reversed its course to gain market share. It was prompted in part by President Donald Trump's calls for OPEC production to be increased to control gasoline prices. The eight countries raised their production for September by 547,000 bpd at their last meeting, reversing the largest chunk of cuts in output. They also increased output for the United Arab Emirates, which amounted to around 2.5 million bpd. (Reporting by Alex Lawler and Olesya Astakhova; Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar and Yousef Saba; Editing by Dmitry Zhdannikov and Bernadette Baum) (Reporting and editing by Dmitry Zhdannikov, Bernadettebaum and Dmitry Zhdannikov; Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar; Yousef Sabah; and Bernadettebaum and Dmitry Zhdannikov)
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Venezuelan currency exchanges switch to crypto when dollars are scarce
A dozen sources claim that Venezuela's government has begun to allow the private sector to use dollar-linked cryptocurrencies for currency exchanges, due to the US restrictions on oil exports. The sanctions imposed by the United States on Venezuela, which are described by the Venezuelan government as an "economic war", prevent many transactions. Companies that want to purchase raw materials abroad are forced to exchange their local bolivars into dollars, generated from the oil trade, foreign card transactions, and the central bank injecting them into the exchanges. Oil revenue has dropped in recent months. The United States Treasury Department issued Chevron last month a restricted license allowing the company to export oil again after a three-month hiatus. However, this license prevents any payments to be made to the government and reduces the amount of dollars that can be exchanged. According to sources in the financial and private sector who requested anonymity for fear of repercussions, Venezuelan authorities have allowed more USDT (a digital currency known as Tether), whose value was pegged to U.S. dollars and is designed to maintain stability. Digital currencies are a great way to keep the economy running during sanctions. This includes the production of food and other basic products. Cryptography is used by some businesses to open up new operations when one closes. According to another source, the use of cryptocurrency will increase. Sources told us last year that the state-owned oil company PDVSA gradually increased its digital currency use and moved sales to USDT since last year. Tether has not responded to a comment request, but stated last year that it respects U.S. Treasury’s list of sanctioned organizations. The Ministry of Communications and the Central Bank did not respond to any questions. However, Vice President Delcy Rodriguez stated during a meeting in August with businesspeople that "nontraditional mechanisms of exchange market management" were being implemented. She gave no further details. Sources said that a small number of banks are selling the cryptocurrency, USDT in most cases, to certain businesses for bolivars. Businesses must use a digital wallet that has been approved by authorities to receive the value. The crypto can be used to pay for domestic or international services or sold by businesses. Ecoanalitica, a local analyst firm, estimates that $119,000,000 in cryptocurrency was sold to the private sector during July. According to private and financial sector estimates, the Venezuelan central banks has injected $2 billion in the currency exchange market during the first seven months this year, which is 14% less compared to the same period of last year. Analysts estimate that the restrictions on Chevron's license could further reduce the availability foreign currency. According to data from vessel tracking and company documents, oil exports fell by about 10% in July compared to the previous month. "The exchange rate is always limited," said Orlando Camacho. He is a close friend of the ruling party, and also the head of an association for medium-sized businesses. "The companies' role is to also guarantee foreign exchange by their exports." Rod Nickel is responsible for the reporting and editing.
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China's copper production set to fall by a rare amount in September as tax changes hit scrap supply
Analysts predict that China's refined production of copper in September will experience a rare decline, the first since 2016. This is due to newly implemented tax regulations which are limiting the supply. According to research agencies Shanghai Metals Market, Mysteel and Benchmark Minerals Intelligence, September's output of the world's biggest producer and consumer refined copper will drop by 4 to 5% compared to August's levels. Analysts said that this, along with the expectation of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut, may support copper prices. Analysts noted that the decline in copper scrap anodes occurred during a typical seasonal demand peak, because new tax rules made smelting it into anodes less lucrative. Anodes are an important input for the processors who produce refined copper. This is used widely in construction, manufacturing, and power infrastructure. SMM data revealed that the number of anode-producing smelters will increase to five from three in September, a month ago, adding to the drop in production. In the past, when refiners needed to maintain production, they could obtain some anode-copper from smelters. Right now, anode supply is tight and limiting refined output," said Yongcheng Zhao. According to SMM, the operating rate of smelters that are fed scrap copper or anode-copper is expected to drop by 8.3 percentage point month-on-month in September to 59.9%. According to two analysts, who spoke under condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media, equipment maintenance could reduce consumption of copper concentrat, which is a key input to smelters. This would help to prevent spot processing fees from falling more dramatically, said these analysts. They added that this could give Chinese smelters a bit of leverage when they negotiate with miners to determine the contract price for the next year in November. A shortage of mining material has caused processing fees to fall into negative territory. A persistent and acute concentrate shortage has forced some smelters to stop operations outside of China due to the arrival of new smelting capacities worldwide. Analysts expect the dip in output to continue through October. This will not stop annual production from reaching a record level this year.
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French electricity production is reduced due to a strike over wages and pensions
Data from EDF showed that the electricity output of the French utility was cut by 2.6 gigawatts on early Wednesday morning. This was due to workers cutting power production as part of an industrial action aimed at pensions and wages in the gas and power sector. The industrial action is expected to expand in the next few weeks due to the low approval rating of the government. It faces a vote of confidence on Monday. The data revealed that nuclear power production fell by 2.1 GW, with three reactors being affected. Hydropower production also decreased by 510 megawatts. France's total nuclear capacity is 57 GW, and it produces 70% of its annual electricity. Data from grid operator RTE indicated that France will remain a net exporter of power throughout the day. The affected supply at 0900 GMT was 4,2% of the total production. A spokesperson for Belgian Gas Terminal Operator Fluxys stated that the industrial action in the gas sector has only had a small impact on certain work currently being done. The spokesperson stated that there was no impact on output flow rates, nor on the ship unloading or truck loading operations. Dunkirk LNG is the second-largest terminal in continental Europe. It's the only one that connects directly to two markets, Belgium and France. This terminal accounts for around 20% of the annual gas consumption of both countries. (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis, Philippa Fletcher and Forrest Crellin)
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Pope Leo opens a Vatican-run eco-training centre in response to climate change
Pope Leo is opening a new Vatican-run eco-training centre in the Italian countryside this Friday. Catholic officials claim that it's an initiative to encourage leaders around the world to tackle global climate change. The center, which is spread over 55 hectares of land (136 acres), on the expansive grounds of a papal villa from the Renaissance era in Castel Gandolfo includes gardens, vocational-training facilities, and education opportunities for local kids. Rev. Manuel Dorantes, the U.S. priest who directs the centre, stated that the Vatican wants set an example of how countries should pursue initiatives to protect the environment. If we, the smallest state in the world can do it, what potential is there for states larger than us? He said. "Our world could be different if you and I work together." The "Borgo Laudato Si" ecological project was announced by late Pope Francis in 2023, a strong advocate of environmental protection. According to officials, the large area of the centre represents approximately 55 percent (or more) of all land owned by Vatican. The centre was named after Francis's major document from 2015, the first papal document to endorse the scientific consensus on climate change. It also urged nations that they reduce their carbon emission. Leo, as the first U.S. Pope, has also stressed the environmental teachings of the Church. The new pontiff approved in July a unique rite that allows priests to offer Masses urging Catholics to care for the Earth. Castel Gandolfo, on the shores Lake Albano, is located about an hour south of Rome. The new centre, which is located in the same building as where Leo spent his summer holidays this year, has been a place where popes spend their vacations since centuries. The greenhouse at the center of the institute was built to mimic the colonnade on St. Peter's Square in the Vatican. Officials have announced that visiting groups can learn about organic agriculture in the greenhouse or attend classes in a 10-room facility adjacent. Tourists who book a tour will be able to purchase local agricultural products including organic olive oil and cheese produced by 60 cows that live on site. (Reporting Joshua McElwee, additional reporting by Claudia Chieppa, editing by William Maclean).
International stock index edges up while US dollar falls versus the yen
An international equities index hardly advanced on Tuesday as financiers weighed the outlook for reserve bank rate cuts after the current batch of economic information and ahead of a key U.S. inflation checking out due Thursday, while the dollar fell versus the yen.
Oil rates
rose after reports that manufacturer group OPEC+ was considering extending voluntary oil output cuts into the second quarter to offer extra support.
Previously in the day, the Conference Board stated U.S. customer confidence pulled back in February after three straight monthly increases as homes fretted about the labor market and the domestic political environment. Its customer self-confidence index slipped to 106.7 this month versus economic expert expectations of 115.0 and a downwardly revised 110.9 for January.
Likewise, orders for lasting U.S. made products fell by the most in almost four years in January amid a sharp drop in bookings for commercial aircraft, while the outlook for business financial investment on equipment was blended.
The next key information financiers are keeping an eye out for will be Thursday's release of January's U.S. individual intake expenses index (PCE), which is the Federal Reserve's. chosen inflation procedure.
We've a bit of a defensive tone in the market today with. the energies sector leading gains, stated Chris Zaccarelli,. primary financial investment officer at Independent Consultant Alliance,. Charlotte, North Carolina.
Financiers are expecting Thursday's inflation. reading. , if it stays sticky it will impact how soon and how. . sometimes the Fed will cut rates, and since of this. markets are reasonably flat due to the fact that investors remain in. wait-and-see mode, he stated.
Presently, about 63% of traders expect the Fed to start. cutting rates by June, down from nearly 98% at the end of. January, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman indicated that she. was in no rush to cut U.S. rate of interest, especially given. upside risks to inflation that might stall development and even. cause price pressures to resurge.
By 2:29 p.m. ET (1929 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average. fell 130.86 points, or 0.33%, to 38,938.37, the S&P 500. acquired 2.61 points, or 0.05%, to 5,072.14 and the Nasdaq. Composite gained 50.54 points, or 0.32%, to 16,026.79.
Among the S&P's 11 significant sectors, utilities. was the greatest percentage gainer, up more than 1%.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose. 0.87 points, or 0.11%, to 760.04.
In currencies, the dollar was down somewhat against the. Japanese yen after information showed Japan's core consumer inflation. exceeded forecasts and the greenback likewise reacted to January's. bigger than expected decline in U.S. resilient goods orders.
The dollar index acquired 0.05% at 103.82, with the. euro down 0.04% at 1.0843.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar compromised. 0.11% at 150.52.
We're waiting for the PCE information to offer us a more powerful. orientation possibly, said Shaun Osborne, primary currency. strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto.
Because financiers are already anticipating strong, and. numbers, it would most likely have to be a big benefit surprise to. actually get the dollar conditioning, Osborne included.
In U.S. treasuries, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year. notes rose 1 basis indicate 4.309%, from 4.299%. late on Monday. The 30-year bond yield increased 1.4. basis indicate 4.4318% from 4.418%. The 2-year note. yield, which usually relocates step with rate of interest. expectations, fell 0.4 basis points to 4.7119%, from 4.716%.
In energy markets, oil rates were also supported by notes. of care from Israel, Hamas and Qatari arbitrators about. development towards a truce in Gaza, after U.S. President Joe Biden. said he thought a ceasefire could be reached in under a week to. stop the war for Ramadan.
U.S. unrefined settled up 1.66% at $78.87 a barrel while. Brent finished up 1.36% at $83.65 per barrel.
Gold costs held consistent with the U.S. inflation reading and. comments from Fed officials on financiers' radar this week.
Area gold lost 0.01% to $2,030.58 an ounce. U.S. gold futures gained 0.36% to $2,035.90 an ounce.
(source: Reuters)