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Dollar rises as uncertainty over peace talks boosts the dollar
On Wednesday, stocks recovered from a crash in technology shares due to caution about overstretched AI valuations. Meanwhile, crude oil prices dropped towards four-month-lows and the dollar climbed up to a one-year-high. The technology stocks that were hard hit on Tuesday edged higher ahead of Micron's earnings, whose chips are key to the AI boom. Investors chose the dollar as a safe haven because sentiment was fragile. Michael McCarthy, a market analyst at Moomoo Securities Australia, said that the price action on markets in the past seven trading days was alarming. Not only when it fell, but when it rose as well. When markets move rapidly in either direction it is a sign that there's instability. The wild swings overnight in Asian stocks that saw South Korea’s Kospi rise 3.5% on Wednesday, despite a 10% fall on Tuesday, did not translate to high volatility in Europe. The regional stock market was essentially unchanged for the day. The broader regional stock market was roughly unchanged on the day. U.S. Stock Futures rose between 0.1% and 0.4%. The dollar rose against a basket major currencies for the third day in a row, reaching its highest level in over a year. The strategists at Scotiabank believe that the dollar is overvalued, given the expectations of at least one rate increase from the Federal Reserve in this year. This has boosted the currency. The dollar continues to enjoy a 'fear premium,' due to the lingering geopolitical concerns and in particular the US/Iran Conflict," they stated. On Wednesday, oil prices dropped more than 1%, continuing this week's losses, and trading at near four-month lows. This was on the back of signs that more tankers stuck in the Gulf will be moving out of the Strait of Hormuz. The outlook is uncertain, as the U.S., and Iran, have given conflicting reports on the key elements of their agreement, such as nuclear inspections, and control of strait. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes fell by 1 basis point to 4.48%. The 'euro' was one of a few?main losers of Wednesday’s dollar strength, as investors lowered their expectations that the European Central Bank would raise rates more than they had expected this year. They also increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will increase borrowing costs. The euro traded at its lowest level in over a year. It was down for the third day, trading at $1.1354. It has already lost more than 2.5% of its value in June, and is on track to have the worst month since July. The yen also fell on the day and traded around 161.695. This kept markets on edge about a possible currency intervention designed to support the?battered Japanese?currency. The minutes of the Bank of Japan’s latest?meeting at which interest rates were raised to a 31 year high of 1.00% showed that policymakers discussed the rising inflation risks. Some called for a faster increase in interest rates to bring borrowing costs closer to levels considered neutral to the economy. Gold prices continued to fall, with the dollar rising, and fell 0.7%, or $4,078 per ounce. This is nearing the two-week lows. (Editing by Lincoln Feast, with additional reporting from Satoshi Fugiyama in Tokyo)
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Aluminium hits a three-month low due to fading Gulf risk premium and strong dollar
Aluminium prices fell to a three-month low on Wednesday due to a?lower Middle East risk premium, and a stronger U.S. dollar. LME benchmark?aluminum for three months was down 0.76% at $3,208 per metric ton as of 0701 GMT. It had touched $3,191 earlier in the day, the lowest price since March 24. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded aluminium contract lost 1.43% and closed at 23,405 Yuan ($3,439.23). On Wednesday, it fell to 23,320?yuan - its lowest level since March 20. Analysts have predicted that the market will expect the supply of aluminium?from Gulf to normalise following the war-induced production and shipping interruptions, as well as the higher energy costs. However, the resumption of flows is expected to be gradual. "The peace dividend in?aluminium] primarily consists of a reduction in the level of uncertainty and not a structural 'change in aluminium demand-supply fundamentals,"?Rupankar RM said, head market research at AL Circle. The U.S. Dollar gained a fifth consecutive day on the back of safe-haven purchases. This made the entire base metals complex – which is mostly traded using the greenback – more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. Dollar has strengthened amid expectations of an increase in U.S. interest rates, amid persistently high inflation. Meanwhile, a selloff in tech-led stocks has clouded the growth outlook. Borrowing becomes more expensive and dampens demand for metals that are tied to economic growth. Copper rose 0.14% at the LME, but fell 0.56% at the SHFE. Red metal is a result of?forecasts that demand will be high for AI infrastructure, grid investments and electric vehicles. Other LME metals saw a decline of 0.69% in?zinc, 0.08% in lead, 2.02% for?nickel and 0.23% for tin. On the SHFE, nickel, tin, and lead all fell.
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Dollar gains as Fed hikes rates and gold falls to a two-week low
Investors weighed conflicting signals about U.S. peace talks with Iran as they assessed the varying signals from U.S. and Iran. Gold spot fell 0.7%, to $4,081.24 an ounce, at 0751 GMT. It had earlier fallen to its lowest level since June 11. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery declined by 1.2% to $4.098.70. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Tuesday that Iran agreed to nuclear inspections in "infinity" while Tehran claimed it had not made such a concession during negotiations. This raises questions about whether their fragile peace agreement will survive. Both sides disagreed over the details of a clause that would give Iran access to frozen funds in foreign accounts. Tastylive's head of global macro,?Ilya?Spivak, said: "What we are witnessing is the evolution of the pressure gold was under as a result of the war." The dollar has risen, gold has fallen, and bonds have fallen. The price of gold has dropped by about 23% in the last few months since the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran began late February. This is because rising inflationary pressure has led to the expectation of an interest rate increase by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, but it becomes less attractive as an asset that does not yield in an environment with high interest rates. Dollar has reached a record high, more than a year ago. This makes bullion expensive for buyers from abroad. According to CME FedWatch Tool, traders are betting on three Fed rate increases in this year, as opposed to one before the Fed meeting last week. Investors are now awaiting the U.S. Personal Consumption Spending data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, which is due on Thursday. Spivak explained that if we focus primarily on inflation, we will be heading in the direction of $3.800. We'll then have a discussion about whether we should test $3.500 next. Silver spot fell by 0.4%, to $61.80 an ounce. Platinum lost 0.6%, to $1.641.35, while palladium fell 1.3%, to $1.221.71. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu in Bengaluru, Rashmi aich and Ronojoy Mazumdar.
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Australia intensifies bird flu testing after second state reports case
Australian authorities increased surveillance and testing of animals and wildlife on Wednesday, after a second state confirmed a case. Peter Malinauskas, the state premier of South Australia, confirmed that a migratory pigeon had tested positive for avian influenza. This comes days after two cases were confirmed in Western Australia near Esperance. Australia's agriculture minister, Julie Collins, stated that there is currently no danger to humans. She said that chicken meat and eggs prepared in the normal way are perfectly safe. Drone surveys and ground-based surveillance are conducted at sea-lion breeding sites on South Australia's West and Far West Coasts. Testing frequency has also been increased in areas of high risk. Western Australia?on Wednesday?anticipated a third case?of the virus?after 11 samples?were sent?for testing?in the state?following dozens?of reports?of sick or dead birds? Collins stated that the restrictions have now been lifted, but with some caveats. Australia's biggest export market is Papua-New Guinea, which will buy A$44,38, 000 worth of goods by 2023. Collins stated that her department received information from PNG indicating that the suspension was lifted, but with certain exceptions. The two countries are continuing to work together on this issue. Australia was the only continent to have not had a mainland case confirmed. However, the virus was detected in the sub-Antarctic island of Heard Island, late 2025. The?human?infections are rare. However, the spread of avian flu has affected the poultry industry in many countries. This has led to a disruption of the supply and price for eggs and meat. Australia's efforts to combat?bird influenza have included tightening farm biosecurity and increasing testing of shore birds. It has also vaccinated susceptible species and conducted simulations.
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Iron ore prices rebound from multi-month lows due to dip buying
Iron ore prices rebounded on Wednesday after hitting multi-month lows the day before. This was aided by traders who bought dips and covered shorts as demand for iron ore in China, the top consumer of the commodity, remains resilient. After touching a low of 11 months on Tuesday, the most-traded contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed daytime trading up 0.74% to 744 yuan (109.35 dollars) per metric ton. As of 0805 GMT the benchmark July 'iron ore' on the Singapore Exchange had risen by 0.84% to $98.25 per ton after Tuesday's near four-month low. In anticipation of a seasonal slowdown in demand and a rising supply, Dalian and Singapore have seen their prices decline by 6.6% and 7.7% respectively in the last month. According to data from Mysteel, lower prices have fueled the buying interest of some steelmakers and traders. The daily transaction volume for seaborne cargoes has risen by 87% from Tuesday's previous day. Analyst Cao Ying at SDIC Futures said: "It is a normal correction after persistent price drops... iron ore may still find support in the short-term as hot metal production remained high." Mysteel data shows that hot metal production, a typical indicator of iron ore consumption, was 2.42 million metric tons last week. This is the highest level since September 2025. A number of 'traders' closed their'short positions, as the improved buying interest on the spot market helped portside prices. This will then permeate the futures market, according to another analyst who spoke under condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak with the media. Coking coal, coke and other steelmaking components, both fell by 1.03%?and 0.31% respectively. The steel benchmarks at the Shanghai Futures Exchange have moved in a narrow range. Rebar and hot-rolled coil were barely changed. Wire rod increased by 0.12%, and stainless steel fell 1.57 percent.
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South Korean shares surge as retail investors rush in to buy
South Korea's benchmark stock index staged a sharp recovery on Wednesday. It recovered more than 3% following a?drop of nearly 10% a day before, as retail investors rushed to purchase the?dip. The benchmark KOSPI closed at 8,471.02 after rising up to 4.55%. Samsung Electronics led the index upwards, rising 9.84% following a report in the media that the chipmaker planned a share-buyback program worth around 90 trillion won ($58.4billion). Peer SK -Hynix rose by 0.98%. Seo Sang Young, a Strategist at Mirae Asset Securities Co., explained that the rebound was a huge recovery of the double-digit losses from the previous session. Seo stated that retail investors are driving the volatility in the markets. They were waiting for opportunities to enter the market because of FOMO. "More volatility is ahead as Micron will soon report earnings while the U.S. waits for inflation and job data." Global index provider MSCI kept South Korea in its emerging-market category, citing long-standing accessibility issues related to the onshore foreign exchange market in its annual market-classification review ?on Tuesday. The impact of MSCI’s decision was limited on the market today, because it was raised?last Monday," Kim Joon Young, an analyst with iM Securities said. He added that the previous'session was a temporary reversal driven by high volatility both ways. 516 of the 918 issues traded advanced while 367 declined. The foreigners sold shares worth 4.6 trillion Won. On the onshore settlement platform, the won fell 0.56% in value on the day to 1,541.8 dollars. The benchmark 10-year yield dropped by 0.9 basis point to 4.169%, while the?most liquid' three-year Korean Treasury?bond yield increased by 0.4 basis points. $1 = 1,542.3400 won (Reporting and editing by Jacqueline Wong; Jihoon Lee, Cynthia Kim)
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Dollar gains as Fed hikes rates and gold falls to a two-week low
Investors weighed conflicting signals about the U.S. - Iran peace talks as they assessed rising bets that U.S. interest rates would rise. Gold spot fell 0.5% at 0609 GMT to $4,088.97 an ounce, after hitting its lowest level since June 11. U.S. gold for August delivery fell 1% to $4106.30. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Tuesday that Iran agreed to nuclear inspections indefinitely. However Tehran claimed it had not made any such concessions during negotiations. This raises questions about their fragile peace agreement. Both sides disagreed on the specifics of a provision which would give Iran access to frozen funds in overseas accounts. Ilya Spivak is head of global macro at Tastylive. The dollar has risen, gold has fallen, and bonds have fallen. The price of gold has dropped by about 23% in the last few months since the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran began late February. This is due to mounting inflationary pressure, which has led to the expectation of an interest rate increase from the U.S. federal reserve. Gold is often seen as an inflation-hedging asset, but it can lose its appeal in a high interest-rate environment as a non yielding asset. Dollars have reached a record high of more than one year, causing bullion to be more expensive for buyers from abroad. According to CME FedWatch Tool, traders are betting on three Fed rate hikes this year compared to one before the Fed meeting last week. Investors are now awaiting the U.S. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, Personal Consumption Spending data, is due on Thursday. This will provide further clues about monetary policy. Spivak stated that if we focus primarily on inflation, we will be heading in the direction of $3.800. We'll then have a discussion about a possible test at $3.500. Silver spot rose by 0.2%, to $62.17 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.1%, to $1,652.55, while palladium was up 0.1%, to $1,238.34. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu, Rashmi aich, and Pablo Sinha from Bengaluru)
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SoftBank's son says that talking about a bubble would be blasphemy to AI.
Masayoshi Son, founder of SoftBank and CEO Masayoshi Son, told SoftBank shareholders on Wednesday that artificial?intelligence is still in its early stages. Any talk of a bubble would be "an insult to AI." Son?said that calling 'AI' a bubble was blasphemy. It's only the beginning. "The potential of AI will be unlocked." SoftBank's stock price was boosted by Son’s 100% bet on OpenAI, despite investors' doubts about the sustainability of this rally. Son's career has seen many market ups and downs, including the dotcom bubble and the COVID-19 Pandemic when his portfolio was in the "valley the coronavirus". SoftBank has also invested in robotics and is building data centers in the U.S. Son said that his group is seeking to invest. He said that if (TEPCO), joined our group, he would be able to increase the power supply in Japan and bring AI data centres there. Son did not provide any additional information, but said that SoftBank had begun manufacturing robots in its "physical AI factory" and would make an announcement about the matter soon. Son stated, "I believe we are the first company in the world that has robots producing robots on a large scale." Son can use the shareholder meeting to explain his vision of the business and answer questions from retail investors. Son said that SoftBank was a goose that lays golden eggs and returned to this comparison. He said, "Eggs don't lay eggs. The goose lays the egg." "SoftBank Group lays the eggs." He was also upset about the difference between the market capitalisation, which is around?37 trillion ($229 billion), and the assets of the company, which are worth?74 trillion?yen. How long will it take me to persuade you that the goose has done a good job? Son asked. The entrepreneur said that he would lead the company well into his 70s in order to achieve "artificial intelligence," which he defines by being a?10,000-times smarter than humans. Son: "I've become more greedy." I would like to accomplish more in the next 10 or 15 years. I will remain healthy for as long as I am able. Son was asked to nominate a shareholder who called herself "a simple housewife" to the board. She said, "You are a visionary and skilled artist." I would like to see my son become as talented and creative as you. Son replied, "I'll remember that."
Swiss cinemas provide seniors with a place to escape the heat wave
Daniel 'Gillieron', 82 sat down in the Nord-Sud Cinema of Geneva, anticipating a?free?film, and a?longer ac blast, as the heatwave blasted the streets.
The senior citizen was among hundreds who attended free daytime films organised by regional authorities and cinemas to give seniors a break.
MeteoSuisse, a Swiss weather agency, predicts temperatures in the city to reach as high as 36?Celsius this week (97 degrees Fahrenheit).
The manager of three participating cinemas, Laurent Dutoit said, "The more hot it gets, the better the cinema is as a refuge."
Since Thursday, around?650 people took up the offer.
Gillieron stated that the air-conditioned theater was a great way to enjoy a movie. The month of June will be one of the warmest on record in Switzerland. This is due to a heatwave which has been sweeping across Europe. In lowland regions, daytime temperatures reached 35 C. Some areas exceeded 36 C.
MeteoSuisse's forecaster,?Elie Kirchner, said: "It really underscores the exceptional nature? of this heatwave which is... very long and intense."
Heatwaves are?also earlier this year than normal. Temperatures in Switzerland usually soar around the second half July and first half August. (Reporting and editing by Andrew Heavens; Olivia Le Poidevin)
(source: Reuters)