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The yen is a hazed mess before the Fed
Rae Wee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. Investors have focused their attention on the Federal Reserve rate decision this week, but on Wednesday the currency markets briefly turned to the Japanese yen. After a sudden fall in the yen's value against the euro, and a drop of nearly 0.9% versus the Aussie dollar, the yen appeared to be slurring its words. The dollar was also on the verge of breaking through the 157-yen mark. The move was not a major event, but it could have been a way to position itself ahead of next week's policy meeting of the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Markets have almost priced in a 25-basis point hike, but the future is still unclear. There is little reason to tighten policy beyond December, given the lingering fiscal and growth concerns in Japan. If the expected hike next week is followed by another?months' wait, then the yen's trajectory will not change much - which means more downside risk. Even at 0.75% rates,?Japan's would still be among the lowest in world. The announcement comes at a time when policymakers in Australia, Europe and elsewhere have indicated that they may be considering a rate hike. Markets elsewhere reacted little when data showed that China's annual inflation rate accelerated in November to its highest level in 21 months, and factory-gate deflation increased. The Politburo - the top decision making body of the ruling Communist Party - said this week that China would continue to expand domestic demand in 2026 and support the economy through more proactive policies. The rupiah in Indonesia has weakened slightly after news that the United States trade agreement is at risk, according to an official from the United States, as Jakarta has retracted on several of its commitments made under the deal. Later, an Indonesian government official said that tariff negotiations between the United States and Indonesia are progressing as planned by both leaders. The Fed was the focus of attention, as the?outcome on Wednesday could be the most divisive in recent years. Investors have had a stressful few weeks in the lead up to this meeting. There was little data available during the record 43-day U.S. Government shutdown. Fed officials sent contradictory messages and President Donald Trump's Administration pushed for lower interest rates. Kevin Hassett is the White House's economic adviser and the leading candidate to become the Fed's new?chair. He told the WSJ Chief Executive Council on Tuesday that there was "plenty" of room to reduce interest rates. However, he said, if inflation increases, then the calculation?"may change." The Bank of Canada is also expected to announce its policy announcement on Wednesday. It will likely remain unchanged on rates due to a growing economy and an easing of inflation. The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Wednesday. - Federal Reserve rate decision Bank of Canada Rate Decision
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Markets watch Ukraine peace talks and Fed rate decision
Investors waited for a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on interest rates and watched progress in Russia-Ukraine talks. Brent crude futures rose 7 cents or 0.1% to $62.01 per barrel at 0500 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $58.32 per barrel, an increase of 7 cents or 0.1%. Suvro Sarkar is a DBS Bank energy analyst and said that the American Petroleum Institute reported a decline in U.S. oil inventories. Oil prices could be supported by the U.S. Fed's rate-cut policy, which is another macro-driver. Citing market sources The API numbers are a good way to understand the figures. On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Energy reported that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 4.78 million barrels, while gasoline inventories increased by 7 million barrels, and distillate stocks increased by 1.03 millions barrels. While markets were booming, Expecting The U.S. Federal Reserve is to Reduce the size of your ad with this At its meeting on Wednesday, the Bank of England cut its key interest rate a quarter-point to help cool down the labour market. A reduction in interest rates may increase oil demand through economic growth. However, concerns that supply would outpace demand curtailed gains. ING analysts stated in a note that despite the market moving further into a glut, Russian oil supply is still a concern. "While Russian seaborne oil export volumes are doing well, these barrels are having a hard time finding buyers," ING stated, adding that Russian output will begin to drop if buyers cannot be found. After days of intense diplomacy, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that his country and European partners would soon be presenting "refined documents," on a plan to end the conflict with Russia. The lifting of sanctions against Russian companies could be achieved by a 'peace agreement' between Ukraine and Russia. This could allow for the reopening of restricted oil supply. The Energy Information Administration has also said that it expects U.S. crude oil production this year to be higher than expected. Its forecast for 2025 was raised by 20,000 barrels a day to an average of 13.61 million. The organization, however, reduced its forecast of total production in 2026 to 13,53 million bpd by 50,000. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Emily Chow)
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Silver reaches new records, gold edges ahead of Fed decision
Silver continued its record-breaking rise above $60 per ounce, as silver continues to be pushed higher by investors awaiting the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s guidance on the day the bank is expected cut interest rates. As of 0309 GMT, spot gold rose 0.2% to $4215.61 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.2% to $4244.70 an ounce. Spot silver was up 0.6% to $61.06/oz, after reaching a session high of $61.46. It has built on Tuesday's breakthrough above the $60 level, driven by depleted stocks and strong industrial demand. GoldSilver Central's?MD Brian Lin said: "What we are seeing on spot gold is that it's range-bound and people will be looking to the Fed interest rate tonight (to see if there'll any further news)" Powell will hold a press conference at 30 minutes after Powell's rate announcement at 1900 GMT. The FOMC meeting, which lasted two days, concludes on Wednesday with a decision about the interest rate. Investors currently price in an 88.6% probability of a 25 basis-point cut. Kevin Hassett is a White House economist and a leading candidate for Fed chairman. He said that there was "plenty" of room?for more. Rate cuts But rising inflation could change this outlook. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to do well in low interest rate environments. "Many are now interested in silver because it (finally is) catching up to gold. "The (gold-silver ratio) has dropped sharply and there's a lot of demand for silver on major markets including India," Lan stated. Silver Institute, an industry association, said that a report released on Tuesday showed that sectors such as?solar power, electric vehicles, data centers, and artificial intelligence would drive the industrial demand upwards through 2030. Silver prices are supported by dwindling inventories worldwide, high demand and expectations that the Fed will ease interest rates. It has also been added to the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Palladium dropped 0.2%, to $1,503,26. Platinum fell 1.2%, to $1669.70. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Harikrishnan Nair)
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Copper falls below records as Fed caution tempers gains
The copper price hovered just below its record highs as investors waited for the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce a possible hawkish policy following their two-day meeting. As of 0315 GMT, the?most-traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange?was down by 0.37% to 91,720 Yuan ($12,987.27) per metric ton. The benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.67%, to $11,564 per ton. The upward trend in copper slowed as the Fed rate decision drew near. At a time of persistent inflation fears and a resilient economy in the United States, the market was expecting a "hawkish" cut in December. Analysts at Chinese broker Jinrui stated that investors have scaled back their positions due to the uncertainty of future rate cuts. They also noted that the expected'supply pressure outside the U.S. keeps prices high and volatile. The copper price has recently reached record highs due to the expectation that supplies will be tightening outside of the U.S. and mine disruptions. China's consumer price inflation reached a 21-month high in November. However, factory-gate deflation continued even as the government intensified its campaign to reduce overcapacity. Shareholders of Canadian miner Teck Resources approved the merger between Anglo American on Tuesday, paving the way for the review by regulators. Aluminium, among other metals, fell 0.34% on SHFE. Zinc dropped 0.43%. Lead?lost? 0.84%. Nickel declined 0.73%. Tin was the only metal to gain 0.72%. Aluminium gained?0.63% on the LME, while zinc gained 0.49%. Lead was up 0.33%. Nickel gained 0.31%. Tin rose 1.11%. Wednesday, December 10, DATA/EVENTS 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean End Stocks 25/26 Dec 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean E/S for the World 25/26 dec 0600 US Corn, Soybean, Wheat end stocks 25/26 dec 0600 US world soy, wheat, corn
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Rinehart: excessive regulation is putting Australia's mining industry at risk.
Gina Rinehart, baroness of mining in Australia, said that excessive regulations have put the industry's global competitiveness under threat. Rinehart, executive chairman of?Hancock Prospecting?, Australia's 4th-largest miner of iron ore, has risen to the top of Australia's richest list over the last 15 years. The comments were made in a speech marking the 10-year anniversary since Hancock first shipped iron ore. They echo previous statements by BHP executives. However, they are her first remarks since Australia passed an environmental law reform in a bid for a reduction in red tape last month. Rinehart cited a report from the Minerals Council of Australia that stated that 80% of mining projects were abandoned. The lobby group blamed this on "poor policies" which increased costs for the miners. "This is the result of bad government policies. Rinehart stated that the reality of a significant risk to Australia's mining industry and high government burdens is putting?our competitiveness at risk. Hancock said in its annual reports that it was awaiting final approvals for the development of two iron ore project. However, a spokesperson announced on Wednesday that approvals were received and construction has begun. Geraldine Slattery, BHP Australia's director of Australia, said in October that the country needs to speed up environmental approvals as well as increase access to low-cost power if it wants to compete with other nations for mining investment capital. BHP's Mike Henry, the CEO of BHP's coking coal division in Queensland, also warned in October that "difficult" decisions were ahead after the state raised its royalty payments without consulting with industry. Rinehart highlighted the contribution mining made to the nation’s wealth. She pointed out that her Roy Hill mine generated A$12 billion in taxes and royalty payments and A$15.4 billion in contracts for Western Australian companies in the last 10 years. She had previously called on Australia to adopt a Donald Trump-style of leadership in order to reduce government spending while increasing defence and energy security. Last month, Australia reached an agreement with the Greens to reform its environmental laws. The MCA described the bill as "an inferior and disappointing outcome" for Australian firms who currently have to "go through a lengthy, complex and double-track approval and assessment process on issues that are largely identical." Reporting by Melanie Burton, Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman. $1 = 1.5078 Australian Dollars
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Iron ore prices rise as China's weak data boosts demand
Iron ore futures rose on Wednesday, following several sessions of losses. This was after soft factory data in the top consumer China raised hopes for fresh stimulus to boost?economic growth by 2026. As of 0246 GMT, the most traded January iron ore contract on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 1.66% to 776.50 yuan ($108.68), after falling by 0.7% on Tuesday. As of 0236 GMT, the benchmark January iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was up 0.75% at $102.55 per ton. China's factory gate deflation has accelerated in the third year of its existence, and last month it grew even more, showing that domestic demand is weak, and unlikely to improve soon. Official data revealed that the producer prices index (PPI), which measures changes in producer prices over a 12-month period, fell 2.2% in November compared to a 2.1% drop in October. This was worse than expected, as it was forecasted for a 2% decline. Analysts expect Beijing to introduce some measures that will support growth in the first three months of 2026. Analysts at the state-run China Mineral Resources Group, (CMRG), argued that current prices "deviated" from fundamentals. In a Tuesday statement posted on the WeChat page of the state-backed Steel Association, CMRG analysts said that "speculative activity among traders has amplified price fluctuation." Prices do not have grounds to trend up in the fourth-quarter against backdrop of increasing supply and weakening demands." The CMRG was established in 2022 with the aim of centralising iron ore purchases and negotiating better terms with miners. Coking coal, a component of steelmaking, and other ingredients dipped by 0.69%, and were?added to 1.35%. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have gained ground. Rebar climbed by 0.49%. Hot-rolled coils grew 0.31%. Wire rod jumped 0.94%. Stainless steel gained 0.48%. ($1 = 7.0623 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and editing by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson)
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Markets focus on Ukraine peace talks as they cap gains due to supply concerns
Investors awaited progress in the Russia-Ukraine talks and concerns about supply exceeding demand. Brent crude futures rose 11 cents or 0.2% to $62.05 per barrel at 0241 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $58.38 per barrel, an increase of 13 cents or 0.2%. ING analysts said that while the oil market has moved deeper?into a glut expected, Russian supply is still a concern. ING stated that "while Russian seaborne export volume is holding up well, barrels?are having a hard time finding buyers", adding that Russian oil 'output would start to drop if buyers cannot be found. After days of intense diplomacy, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that his country and European partners would soon present "refined documents," on a plan to end the war with Russia. The lifting of sanctions against Russian companies could be achieved by a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia. The Energy Information Administration has said that it expects the U.S. The Energy Information Administration expects oil production to reach a record high this year, surpassing previous expectations. It has also raised its forecast for 2025 by 20,000 barrels to 13.61 million barrels. The organization, however, reduced its forecast of total production in 2026 to 13,53 million bpd by 50,000. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Emily Chow)
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GE Vernova and the US Government work together to increase stocks of rare earth yttrium
By Laila K. Kearney and Lewis Jackson NEW YORK - The CEO of GE Vernova, Scott Strazik, said on Tuesday that the company is working with?U.S. Scott Strazik, CEO of GE Vernova, said that the U.S. government is increasing its stockpiles for the rare earth element?yttrium. Strazik, one of the three largest gas turbine manufacturers in the world, said that GE Vernova has enough yttrium to last until 2025, and possibly into next year. He did not specify how long supplies would last. He added that the company was also looking at alternatives to certain rare 'earths' used in production, should it become necessary. However, there are some cases where cost or performance is sacrificed. Strazik responded to a question on yttrium shortages on Tuesday at an investor's day, "We are focused on it every?day." We're well-prepared for the future, as we have all the supplies we need to get us through this year and into next. We will, however, continue to "be opportunistic" whenever we have the opportunity to add inventory. In April, China, which is the largest supplier of a?element that's used in special alloys for engines and coatings to shield against high temperatures, such as those found in gas-turbines, restricted the exports of this?element along with six others?rare Earths as retaliation against U.S. tariffs. Washington and Beijing agreed on a new regime for accelerating rare-earth exports. However, users of yttrium, from aerospace to semiconductors, complain about severe shortages. Prices outside China rose 4,400% in the period between January and November. Reporting by Laila KEARNEY in New York, and Lewis Jackson in Beijing. Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman.
Atletico rockets up the Champions League rankings with a win over PSV
Atletico Madrid came back from behind to beat PSV Eindhoven by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday and move up to the seventh position in the Champions League rankings. This ensures their progression to 'the knockout stages.
After Guus Til had given PSV an early lead, Julian Alvarez?, David Hancko? and Alexander Sorloth took advantage of some sloppy Dutch defending to score.
Ricardo Pepe's goal, five minutes before the end, was enough to spur PSV on and force them into a resounding comeback.
The crowd was clamoring for the 'home team to win, but despite numerous chances,?PSV couldn't force a dramatic draw. Mark Gleeson, Cape Town; Clare Fallon, editing.
(source: Reuters)