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Spot prices increase on forecast of cooler weather and less wind

The cool weather on Tuesday pushed up the price of European prompt electricity, with little temperature increase expected for the remainder of the week. Wind power supply is also falling.

LSEG research showed that Germany would be a net electricity importer on the day ahead when wind capacity was down in the region in the morning, shifting the balance in favor of bullishness.

Overall, the capacity of conventional generation is expected to remain constant.

At 1000 GMT, the price of French baseload electricity for Wednesday was up 80.6% at 32.5 Euros ($36.76).

The German contract equivalent rose 12.2%, reaching 96.5 euros. This is a significant premium to France.

LSEG data indicated that the German wind power production was expected to drop to 7.9 GW on Wednesday, from 13.7 GW and in France, to 5.9 GW.

The French nuclear capacity has increased by two percentage points, to 65%.

The power consumption in Germany is expected to rise slightly, from 54.2 to 54.4 GW. In France it will fall by 1.5 GW to 43.3 GW.

The German baseload for the year ahead increased by 2.4% to 85.5 euros/MWh. This was mainly due to oil and carbon prices that were higher.

The French equivalent rose 2.1% to 63.05 Euros.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was up by 2.6% to 69.22 Euros per metric ton.

EPEX SPOT said that it traded a volume of 73.0 tWh on its European intraday and day-ahead markets in April 2025. This is 8% higher than the previous year.

In its earnings report, Uniper updated the market about the ongoing legal dispute between the two groups.

Uniper's trading and storage division was the main cause of its 83% drop in net profit for the quarter. ($1 = 0.8842 Euros) (Reporting and Editing by Louise Heavens, Vera Eckert)

(source: Reuters)