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Gold reaches a two-week high as weak economic data reinforces rate cuts

Gold prices rose over 2% Monday, hitting a new two-week-high, as weak economic data from the U.S. fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates. This in turn boosted demand for this non-yielding investment.

As of 9:45 am, spot gold rose 2% to $4.079.71 an ounce. ET (1445 GMT), having reached its highest level in the previous session since October 27. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose 2% to $4.090.80 an ounce.

Gold is now more affordable to overseas buyers due to the dollar index.

Peter Grant, senior metals analyst at Zaner Metals and vice president of Zaner Metals, said: "We could still see a rate cut in December due to some weak data from last week."

Last week, data showed that the U.S. economy lost jobs in October. These losses were in the retail and government sectors. Data on Friday also showed that U.S. consumer confidence dropped in early November, as consumers worried about economic fallout.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the markets now expect a rate reduction in December. By January, odds will have risen to about 80%.

Gold that does not yield tends to perform well in low-interest rates and times of economic uncertainty.

Grant said that gold could be priced between $4,200 and $4,300 per ounce by the end the year. $5,000/oz is still a realistic goal for the first quarter next year.

The U.S. Senate moved ahead on a Sunday measure aimed at reopening federal government and ending a shutdown that has now lasted 40 days.

In a note, Ole Hansen said that reopening the market would bring back data and revive expectations of a December rate reduction, but it also shifted attention to the deteriorating fiscal outlook in the United States.

Palladium rose by 1.1% and platinum added 1.4%. Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru and Pablo Sinha from Mumbai

(source: Reuters)