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As US interest rate hikes are boosted by Middle East tensions, gold falls 2%

On Thursday, gold fell?2%, to a?two-week low, as rising Middle East tensions drove up oil prices and U.S. Treasury rates, causing inflation fears and reinforcing expectations for higher U.S. Interest Rates. Gold spot was down 1.9% to $3,984.64 an ounce at 2:05 pm EDT (1400 GMT), after having fallen as much as 2.2% earlier in the day and reaching its lowest level since July '1 during that session. U.S. Gold futures settled at $3,992.10 by 1.5%. Oil prices were near their highest level in a month as worries about Middle East energy supplies grew after Iran told Yemen's Houthis that they would be ready to shut down?the Red Sea route for oil if the U.S. struck Iranian power infrastructure.

The higher oil prices fuel inflation fears, increasing expectations of high?interest rates. Gold's appeal as an asset that does not yield returns is also diminished.

Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that oil prices have risen yet again. With the higher Brent levels there are expectations for a possible rate hike in September.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 53% probability that the Federal Reserve is likely to?raise rates in September.

The yields on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note have been moving higher. The U.S. Dollar gained 0.2% making bullion more expensive for foreign buyers. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declared this week his 'determination to bring down inflation without revealing how. Data released on Tuesday revealed that U.S. Consumer inflation decreased in June. Meanwhile, data from Wednesday showed a decrease in the Producer Price Index.

Even if the Fed adopts a more dovish position, the persistently high price of energy would make it hard for them to do so. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst with Forex.com. He said that investors prefer the dollar 'over zero-yielding metals. Spot silver fell 3.6% to $55.68 an ounce. Platinum dropped 3.1% to 1,621.83 and palladium declined 4.1% to 1,260.70. (Reporting and editing by Diti Pjara and Jonathan Ananda in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)