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Gold gains as the dollar weakens, but Fed expectations and trade optimism limit gains

Gold prices rose on Monday, as the dollar remained just below the three-month highs reached last week. However, reduced expectations of further Federal Reserve rate reductions in December and eased U.S. China trade tensions limited gains.

As of 0627 GMT, spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,014.59 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose 0.7% to $4.025.10 an ounce.

The U.S. Dollar Index was down by 0.1% compared to its rivals. This makes greenback priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies.

Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, said that the gold price has increased because of the dollar's strength, which has stabilized in today's Asia trading session.

The U.S. Fed reduced interest rates on October 29, for the second time in this year, by 25 basis points. However, Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks cast doubt on whether there will be further rate reductions in 2025.

CME's FedWatch Tool shows that traders now give a probability of 71% for a rate reduction in December. This is down from 90% before Powell's remarks.

Gold that does not yield is a good investment in low interest rate environments and economic uncertainty.

Investors are watching other economic indicators, such as the ADP U.S. Employment Data and ISM PMIs, this week to see if they can change the Fed's hawkish position.

The safe-haven strategy has decreased at this time due to the de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions. Wong suggested that it could be the rotation to a more risky play in equities, which is why gold hasn't seen a major upward trend.

Last week, U.S. president Donald Trump agreed with China to reduce tariffs in exchange for Beijing's concessions on the illicit fentanyl market, U.S. soya purchases, and rare-earths imports.

Other metals rose as well. Spot silver increased by 0.6%, to $49.92 per ounce. Platinum climbed by 2.3%, to $1604.21, and palladium gained almost 1%, to $1447.08.

(source: Reuters)