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REFILE-Ghana to postpone more cocoa deliveries as supply crisis worsens

The world's second largest cocoa producer Ghana is seeking to delay delivery of up to 350,000 tons of beans to next season due to poor crops, five sources told in a more worsening of the outlook for the worldwide chocolate industry.

Chocolate makers all over the world are raising costs for consumers after cocoa more than doubled in value this year alone following a third year of bad harvests in Ghana and Ivory Coast, accountable for 60% of worldwide production.

The market had previously estimated Ghana would roll forward some 250,000 metric tons of cocoa, comparable to about half its present crop. Cocobod, Ghana's cocoa regulator, said the nation was wanting to roll over some volumes, but not in those ( 350,000 load) quantities.

The country's cocoa crop has actually been damaged by negative weather, bean disease and prohibited gold mining, which often displaces cocoa farms.

Ghanian farmers are likewise smuggling more beans to neighbouring nations to sell them at greater rates than the state getting price, additional eroding what bit crop is readily available for delivery in Ghana

5 sources with understanding of the matter stated Ghana. pre-sold some 785,000 heaps worth of beans for the current 2023/24 (October-September) season, but will likely just be able to provide some 435,000 heaps.

Ghana frequently offers one year forward about 80% of its crop - which usually amounts to 750,000-850,000 lots.

However, its crop was up to around 670,000 lots last season and is not anticipated to surpass 500,000 heaps this season. Traders and the industry fear it may not rebound considerably next season either.

The International Cocoa Organisation expects global cocoa production will fall 10.9% to 4.45 million heaps this season.

This suggests processors and chocolate firms will have to make use of cocoa stocks to fully cover their requirements.

FORWARD SALES

The rate rally is hindering a long-established mechanism for cocoa trade.

Authorities in Ghana use the average of their forward sales to set the minimum cost at which traders can purchases cocoa from farmers the list below season.

With some 350,000 tons of forward offered beans missing from this season's crop, Ghana is dealing with forward sales for next season, traders stated. 2 sources said the country has sold forward simply 100,000 heaps.

Sources said the 100,000 heaps, like the 350,000 tons being rolled into next season, were cost less than a half of existing world cocoa costs, indicating Cocobod will have a hard time to increase farmer rates next season based on these sales.

Cocobod stated forward sales were progressing as typical however declined to reveal volumes or prices.

Failure to raise prices will likely lure farmers to further ramp up bean smuggling, grow other crops or offer more of their farms to gold miners, stated the sources.

(source: Reuters)