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Area costs diverge on predicted slide in German wind power

European electrical power prices for Monday diverged on Friday as wind power supply was expected to fall greatly in Germany to nearly a tenth of Friday's levels.

The German baseload agreement for Monday rose to 97.55 euros ($ 103.96) per megawatt hour (MWh) by 1037 GMT, up 70.7% from the cost paid for Friday shipment.

The equivalent French cost was at 10.50 euros/MWh, down 59.6% from Friday levels.

The recent rate spread modification is because of an anticipated drop in wind power generation in Germany after forecasts for Monday were revised lower, stated Rabobank analyst Florence Schmit.

Wind power generation is now expected to be suppressed till the end of the month while French nuclear schedule is looking healthy and additional capacity ought to be added over the weekend, which is weighing on costs in the country, she added.

German wind power output is forecast to slide by 27 gigawatts (GW) from Friday to 3.4 GW on Monday while wind power in France is expected to drop by 870 megawatts (MW) to 6.7 GW, LSEG information showed.

LSEG analysis shows that German wind power supply must increase on Tuesday to about 7 GW and 12 GW on Wednesday before falling back to around 10 GW on Thursday.

The recurring load throughout the region is anticipated to increase week on week, since of higher usage and lower solar production in the region, said LSEG expert Naser Hashemi.

French nuclear accessibility was flat at 71% of readily available capability.

Power intake in Germany is anticipated to visit 590 megawatts (MW) to 54.6 GW on Monday while French need was projected to increase by 2 GW to 51.4 GW.

German 2025 baseload fell 2.9% to 92.50 euros/MWh while the comparable French position included 0.3% to 82.50 euros/MWh.

European CO2 allowances for December 2024 expiry fell 1.4% to 70.12 euros a metric lot.

Long-lasting contracted volumes of LNG will exceed the European Union's forecasted supply requirements and could leave the bloc in an over-contracted position by 2027-2030, a report by the EU company of energy regulators revealed.

(source: Reuters)