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Vistra expects higher core earnings in 2026 on the rise in US power demand

Vistra Corp forecast adjusted core profit for 2026 higher than the outlook it gave this year. This reflects its confidence in its expanding power generation portfolio, and its strong demand throughout U.S. market.

As it expands its gas-fired energy and clean energy capacities, the Texas-based electricity company expects an adjusted EBITDA of between $6,8 billion and $7.6billion in 2026, up from a forecast range for 2025 of $5.7 to $5.9billion.

Vistra's Board also approved an extra $1 billion worth of share buybacks.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, a surge in AI- and cryptocurrency-based data centers combined with the accelerating electricification of homes, businesses and other buildings is expected to drive U.S. electricity demand to record levels by 2025 and 2026.

Vistra, to meet the rising demand for electricity, has signed a deal with a nuclear power plant that will supply 1,200 megawatts over a period of 20 years. It also acquired seven natural-gas facilities totaling 2,600MW at a cost of $1.9 billion.

The company is also moving forward with the construction of several solar and energy storage projects in Texas, Illinois and California. These are backed by long term power purchase agreements, signed with Microsoft and Amazon.

Vistra's third-quarter net income, however, was down to $652m due to the decline of unrealized derivative gains of $1.67bn and increased operating costs.

Operating expenses in the quarter July-September increased by 6.3%, to $655 millions.

(source: Reuters)