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Ember report: EU gas demand to drop by 7% in 2030

Ember report: EU gas demand to drop by 7% in 2030

A report from the think-tank Ember on Tuesday showed that gas demand in Europe is expected to decline by 7% by 2030, as renewable energy and electricification increases.

By the Numbers

Ember analysed the national energy plans of EU member states and found that gas demand will fall by 7%, from 326 billions cubic metres (bcm), in 2023, to 302 bcm, in 2030. Gas demand is already down 19% from 404 billion cubic metres in 2019 to 326 bcm by 2023.

Why it's important

The EU's goal to increase the capacity of liquefied gas imports by 54% in 2030, as part plans to phase-out Russian pipeline gas supplies, is at odds with a long-term drop in gas demand.

The report warned that this could lead to an oversupply of gas, with new investments in infrastructure at risk of being stranded.

CONTEXT

EU countries are aiming to double their wind and solar power over the next 5 years, so that renewables can generate 66% all EU electricity in 2030.

Electricity is expected to increase from 23% to 30% of the EU's final energy demand by 2030.

KEY QUOTE

"An electrified EU economy is the direction that is unmistakably heading. Any rush to overbuild on gas infrastructure will result in expensive stranded assets." Tomos Harrison is an Ember electricity transition analyst. Reporting by Nina Chestney, Editing by Chizu nomiyama

(source: Reuters)