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Gold gains more than 1%, but focus shifts to Middle East tensions

Gold gains more than 1%, but focus shifts to Middle East tensions
Gold gains more than 1%, but focus shifts to Middle East tensions

Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Thursday, as investors sought bargains after the price fell to its lowest level in a week.

Gold spot gained 1.2%, to $4.126.49 an ounce at 11:35 am EDT (1535 GMT), following a Wednesday drop to its lowest price since July 1.

U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery climbed 1.4% to $4137.20 an ounce.

After yesterday's drop, there is some bargain-hunting going on. Bob Haberkorn is a senior market strategist with StoneX. He said that the Fed will be the primary driver of?gold in the short-term.

Haberkorn said that if the Fed signals it needs to?further increase rates?, then both metals are likely to be under pressure.

The 'geopolitical front' saw the Iranian armed forces launch attacks on U.S. military installations in Gulf neighbouring states after U.S. airstrikes in Iran’s eastern and southern provinces. This put pressure on a ceasefire agreement that had been in place for three weeks.

The war may cause higher energy prices, which can lead to inflationary pressures. This could also fuel expectations that central banks will raise interest rates. Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. However, rising rates can make gold less attractive by increasing the appeal for interest-bearing investments.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 63% probability of a rate increase in September.

The minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting in June revealed a growing concern over inflation. A few policymakers saw grounds for an increase before the central bank decided to hold rates.

Investors will also closely monitor the Fed's Kevin Warsh congressional testimony and next week's data on inflation to get a better idea of the direction that monetary policy is heading.

HSBC lowered its gold price forecasts by?$4,560 and $4,592 for 2026 and 2027, respectively. They were previously $4,864 or $5,000.

(Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Joe Bavier and Dita Pujara) (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Joe Bavier and Diti Pujara)

(source: Reuters)