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US House narrowly approves Trump's tax-cutting bill and sends it to the Senate

The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives passed by a single vote a sweeping tax and spending bill that would enact much of President Donald Trump's policy agenda on Thursday and saddle the country with trillions of dollars in debt.

The bill would deliver on many of Trump’s populist campaign promises, including new tax breaks for car loans and tips. It would also boost spending on border security and the military. According to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, it will add $3.8 trillion over the next decade to the $36.2 trillion federal debt.

Trump's "one, large, beautiful bill" was passed by a vote of 215-214, with two Republicans and all the Democrats voting against it. A third Republican did not vote for or against this bill.

The vote was held after two nights of marathon debating by lawmakers as House Speaker Mike Johnson tweaked the bill to please various factions in his party.

Johnson, with a 220-212 narrow majority, could not afford to lose any more votes than that.

Johnson stated that the House had passed legislation which would shape our nation for generations to come.

The bill now heads to the Republican-controlled Senate, where it will likely be changed further during weeks of debate.

The 1,000-page bill would extend the corporate and individual tax breaks passed in 2017, during Trump's inaugural term, and cancel many green energy incentives passed by Democratic ex-President Joe Biden. It would also tighten eligibility requirements for food and health programs for poor people. The bill would also fund Trump's crackdown against immigration by adding border guards in the tens-of-thousands, and creating a capacity to deport as many as 1 million people per year.

Moody's downgraded the United States' highest credit rating last week due to growing concerns about the U.S. Debt, which reached 124% GDP.

Every year since the beginning of this century, both Republican and Democratic administrations have failed to align spending with revenues.

According to the CBO, interest payments made up 1 dollar out of 8 dollars that the U.S. Government spent last year. This was more than what they spent on the military. This share will grow to one out of six dollars in the next 10 year as the costs for health care and pensions rise due to an aging population.

Investors are becoming increasingly nervous about the U.S. fiscal situation and Trump's tariffs. They are selling dollars and other U.S. financial assets, which form the foundation of the global system. U.S. Stock Futures rose slightly following the passage of the bill, while yields for U.S. Treasury Bonds increased.

We're not rearranging the deck chairs of the Titanic this evening. "We're putting the coal in the boiler, and setting the course for the Iceberg," said Kentucky Representative Thomas Massie, one of two Republicans who voted against the bill.

The deadline for debt ceilings

Republicans are under pressure to pass this bill because of the growing debt. It would raise the debt ceiling for the federal government by $4 trillion. This would avoid the possibility of a default that officials warned could happen this summer.

Republicans also argue that failing to pass the bill will result in an effective tax increase for many Americans as Trump's tax cuts from 2017 are set to expire by the end of this year. Republicans on the right of the party had called for deeper cuts in spending to reduce the budget impact. However, centrists were opposed because they feared that it would be too burdensome on the 71 millions low-income Americans who are enrolled in Medicaid.

Johnson, in response to conservative concerns, made changes, bringing forward the new work requirements for Medicaid beneficiaries to end 2026 two years earlier. CBO estimates that this would result in the expulsion of several million people from the program. This bill would also penalize future Medicaid expansions in states.

Johnson expanded the deduction for state and local taxes, which was also a priority of a few centrist Republicans from high-tax states such as New York and California.

Democrats said the bill disproportionately benefited the wealthy, while cutting benefits to working Americans. CBO determined that it would decrease incomes for the bottom 10% of U.S. household and increase incomes for the top 10%.

Jim McGovern, Democratic Representative, said: "This bill is a swindle, a tax swindle designed to steal money from you and your fellow Americans and give it to Trump's billionaire and millionaire friends." (Reporting and writing by David Morgan and Bo Erickson, Editing and proofreading by Scott Malone and Jamie Freed; Saad Sayeed, Toby Chopra, and Scott Malone)

(source: Reuters)