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Chile's economy falls unexpectedly in the month of July, dragged down by the mining sector

The central bank of Chile released data on Tuesday showing that the economic activity in Chile declined in July. This was below market expectations because of a slowdown within the mining sector.

Chile's economy declined by 1.5% in July compared to the same month a year ago. This was a decline of 0.4% from the economists polled and an improvement from last month, when it registered a revised annual growth rate of 2%.

The sharpest drop in production was the goods, which fell 3.2% over the past year. The central bank stated that the result was "driven by the performance in the mining sector. Copper was particularly affected by low ore grades, maintenance and adverse weather conditions."

In July, the mining sector of the world's biggest copper producer experienced a decline of 9.3% on a year-on-year basis.

After a brief hiatus, the IMACEC Index, which represents about 90% of Andean countries' gross domestic product (GDP), returned to a negative state in June.

The adverse weather conditions affected the manufacturing industry, too. It fell by 3.1% over the past year and saw a decrease in fuels and chemicals produced.

Jorge Selaive is the chief economist of Scotiabank Chile. He said on X: "The stage is now set for a further seasonally adjusted decline in Q3 2026. August's performance is expected to be weak, and everything will depend on September."

REVISIONS DOWNWARD

Analysts revised their economic forecasts downwards after the release of the sluggish manufacturing data and copper production figures on Monday. The levels are now well below what the market had previously predicted.

Analysts at Santander projected a drop of about 2% compared to the same month last year. However, analysts from Coopeuch and ClapesUC were a little less pessimistic. They predicted a?decline in IMACEC by around 1% or 0.9%.

The central bank said that the IMACEC Index registered a decrease of 1.7% on a monthly basis.

(source: Reuters)