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Asian stocks to have best week in 2022 as U.S. talks with Iran set the stage for a record-breaking week

Asian stocks to have best week in 2022 as U.S. talks with Iran set the stage for a record-breaking week
Asian stocks to have best week in 2022 as U.S. talks with Iran set the stage for a record-breaking week

As Israel began talks with Lebanon, hopes grew for an end to Middle East hostilities and the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran cited Israel’s continued attacks on Lebanon in its ceasefire deal with the U.S. which required Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz, through which typically a fifth global energy supply passes. On Saturday, delegates from Washington and Tehran will hold talks in Pakistan. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan gained 0.9%, bringing it to 7.3% in the past week. This is the highest since November 2022. China's ChiNext was the leader with a jump of 3.8%.

U.S.?S&P500 e-mini Futures reversed earlier loss to trade flat.

Rupal Agarwal is Asia Quant Strategist at Bernstein Singapore. She said: "We believe that this could be beginning of the end of the war. This presents an opportunity for investors to focus on prewar trends and fundamentals."

"We recommend adding some beaten-down titles." The S&P 500 gained 0.6% on Thursday. MSCI's equities benchmark for global equities also made modest gains. This was after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that he wants direct talks with Beirut a day following the worst bombardment in the war in Lebanon, which killed over 300 people. The oil markets remain jittery and are slowly rising from the one-month lows of this week. Brent crude climbed 1.5% to $97.33 per barrel. The Strait of Hormuz is still largely closed for shipping. Marine traffic was well below 10% normal levels on Thursday, as Tehran asserted control over the strategic waterway.

The global market was shocked by the closure of the Strait during the six week Iran War. Oil prices soared and energy supply became tighter. U.S. president Donald Trump stated in a Truth Social post that Iran is doing a "very bad job" allowing oil through the strait. "That's not the agreement we had!"

Regional Impact In an early indication that the Middle East conflict was feeding cost pressures in the world's largest economy, China's Factory-gate Prices rose for the first time in three-and-a-half years in March. Official data showed. Sanae Takaichi, the Japanese prime minister, said at a cabinet gathering on Friday that Tokyo will release 20 days worth of oil reserves in May to ensure a stable domestic supply. Japan's Nikkei 225 vaulted 1.8%, ?with shares in heavily weighted Fast Retailing climbing to a record high after the Uniqlo owner posted a stronger-than-expected jump in profits on ?Thursday. The yen weakened by 0.2% against the dollar. South Korea's KOSPI gained 1.4%, its best performance in a week in almost five years. The Bank of Korea warned that the conflict in the Middle East could?derail the growth and worsen the inflation.

Analysts from ING wrote that the BOK sent a carefully calibrated signal to leave future policy options open. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures greenback strength against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.1% to 98.93.

Data released on?Thursday revealed that weekly unemployment claims rose by 16,000, to 219,000. Continuing?claims also fell by 38,000, to 1.794 millions. This is the lowest level seen since May 2024. Core PCE prices also increased 0.4% in the second consecutive month, reflecting an increase of 3.0% year-on-year. The yield of the 10-year Treasury Bond in the United States increased by 0.4 basis points to 4.295%. Bitcoin was down by 1.0% to $71,723.34, and ether was down by 1.3% at $2,185.33. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam, Kevin Buckland and Gregor Stuart Hunter)

(source: Reuters)